CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SUN...23-NOV-14 @ 5 PM EST

Winter '14 / '15 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

---
16th Annual 'Regular Season'
Possible 'Call for Forecasts' MON ... 24-NOV-14

Contest starts with the 1st contest-worthy storm

---
14th Annual 'Season-total'
Call for Forecasts!
Details here
.

Saturday, April 5, 2008

We Have A Winner!

8 Storms
26 Forecasters
10 Rookies
2 Interns
3 Journeyman
11 Senior
2,072 Station Forecasts
560” Total Snowfall

Don Sutherland has successfully defended his Chief Forecaster title by winning handily the 9th Annual NE.Wx Snowfall Forecast Contest.

Don/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -1.165
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -1.175
AVG Error: 1.3"

Don wins a copy of the book New England Weather New England Climate...by Gregory Zielinski and Barry Keim and one month of FREE access to StormVista GOLD.

Second place goes to Raven...last year/s Chief Season-total forecaster.
Raven/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.685
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.516
AVG Error: 1.8"

TQ finished in third place.
TQ/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.679
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.980
AVG Error: 1.5"

Honorable Mention: shanabe
Shanabe/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.646
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.562
AVG Error: 1.6"

Contest summary @ the web site.

Thanks to everyone who entered a forecast. Hope to see y'all again next winter.

Tuesday, April 1, 2008

7th Annual Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest - Results

Rookie forecaster Duke kc2dux won the 7th Annual NE.Wx/s Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest. Duke/s 'total absolute error' of 314" was a 32% improvement over the 'period of record normal (PORN) error of 463".

The season was notable for its heavy snowfall over northern portions of the forecast area where 1/3 of the stations exceeded their PORN snowfall. Snowfall at Concord, NH (CON) and Caribou, ME (CAR) between DEC 1 and MAR 31 was almost twice PORN.

Second place goes to NE.Wx/s Bridesmaid for Life shanabe (error = 332").

Don Sutherland finished in third place (error = 341").

Perfect forecasts:
BOS - Toms92GP* and pablopicasso*
ORH - NNEWX70*
NYC - Steve Okonski
ACY - shanabe

Complete station-by-station forecast verification table and contest summary @ the web site.

Thanks to everyone who entered. Hope to see all of you again next winter.

The Regular Season contest season is coming to a close. MR progs got nothin'. Final results coming soon.