CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SUN...20-JUL-14 @ 7:35 PM EDT

Winter '14 / '15 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

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16th Annual 'Regular Season'

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14th Annual 'Season-total'

Saturday, April 11, 2009

Final Results - 10th Annual Regular Season Snowfall Forecast Contest

8 Storms
683” Total Snowfall
2,353 Station Forecasts

25 Forecasters
6 Rookies
3 Interns
4 Journeymen
12 Seniors

Don Sutherland has successfully defended his 'Chief Forecaster' title for the second year in a row by winning handily the 10th Annual NE.Wx Snowfall Forecast Contest.

Don/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -1.025
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -1.171
AVG Error: 1.37"

The award for placing first is a copy of the two-volume set Northeast Snowstorms by Kocin / Uccellini and three (3) months of free access to StormVista GOLD

Second place goes to Shanabe...
Shanabe/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.743
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.765
AVG Error: 1.62"
Shanabe/s prize is two (2) months of free access to StormVista GOLD

Donald Rosenfeld finished in third place...
Donald Rosenfeld final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.737
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.660
AVG Error: 1.56"
Donald Rosenfeld/s prize is one (1) month of free access to StormVista GOLD

Honorable Mention: Raven
Raven/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.564
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.438
AVG Error: 1.83"

Complete results and season summary @ the web site.

Many thanks to Jack @ StormVista for his generous contribution of prizes to the top forecaster after each storm and again at season/s end.

Thanks also...to everyone who entered a forecast. Hope you enjoyed the many challenges and we look forward to seeing y'all again next winter.

Saturday, April 4, 2009

Final Results - 8th Annual Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest

Everyone/s forecast has been verified. The final results summary and verifications are available here.

Not a bad season overall. Sum-total snowfall was ~10% above normal.

Thanks to all who entered. Hope to see y'all again next year.

Graphic: Monthly 500 mb geo-height anomalies (D-J-F-M)

Thursday, April 2, 2009

Update - 8th Annual Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest

The last day of March marked the end of the season-total snowfall forecasting season.

The four-month snowfall totals have been tallied...the forecasts have been scored... and the final results will be posted this weekend.

The sum-total snowfall for all 25 stations was 1,010"...about 10% above normal...and just shy of last year/s 1,039" snow-total.