683” Total Snowfall
2,353 Station Forecasts
Don Sutherland has successfully defended his 'Chief Forecaster' title for the second year in a row by winning handily the 10th Annual NE.Wx Snowfall Forecast Contest.
Don/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -1.025
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -1.171
AVG Error: 1.37"
The award for placing first is a copy of the two-volume set Northeast Snowstorms by Kocin / Uccellini and three (3) months of free access to StormVista GOLD
Second place goes to Shanabe...
Shanabe/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.743
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.765
AVG Error: 1.62"
Shanabe/s prize is two (2) months of free access to StormVista GOLD
Donald Rosenfeld finished in third place...
Donald Rosenfeld final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.737
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.660
AVG Error: 1.56"
Donald Rosenfeld/s prize is one (1) month of free access to StormVista GOLD
Honorable Mention: Raven
Raven/s final scores:
AVG SUMSQ Z-score: -0.564
AVG Total Absolute Error Z-score: -0.438
AVG Error: 1.83"
Complete results and season summary @ the web site.
Many thanks to Jack @ StormVista for his generous contribution of prizes to the top forecaster after each storm and again at season/s end.
Thanks also...to everyone who entered a forecast. Hope you enjoyed the many challenges and we look forward to seeing y'all again next winter.
CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 10-SEP-16 @ 2222 LT
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
!!! - Starts as soon as the flakes start flying - !!!
16th Annual 'Season-total'
Enter your forecast at the web site between 01-NOV and 30-NOV
Winter '15 / '16 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
17th Annual 'Regular Season'
No FINAL standings
Too few storms (2)
The two-thirds rule; forecasters are eligible for ranking in the final standings if they entered at least two-thirds of all storm contests. With only two contest-worthy storms this season ... those forecasters with one entry only would have been ineligible.
In the interest of fairness;
Three storms seems like the bare minimum
15th Annual 'Season-total'
Verified forecasts here
Saturday, April 11, 2009
Saturday, April 4, 2009
Everyone/s forecast has been verified. The final results summary and verifications are available here.
Not a bad season overall. Sum-total snowfall was ~10% above normal.
Thanks to all who entered. Hope to see y'all again next year.
Graphic: Monthly 500 mb geo-height anomalies (D-J-F-M)
Thursday, April 2, 2009
The last day of March marked the end of the season-total snowfall forecasting season.
The four-month snowfall totals have been tallied...the forecasts have been scored... and the final results will be posted this weekend.
The sum-total snowfall for all 25 stations was 1,010"...about 10% above normal...and just shy of last year/s 1,039" snow-total.