CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 10-SEP-16 @ 2222 LT

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
!!! - Starts as soon as the flakes start flying - !!!

16th Annual 'Season-total'
Enter your forecast at the web site between 01-NOV and 30-NOV

Winter '15 / '16 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
17th Annual 'Regular Season'
No FINAL standings
Too few storms (2)

The two-thirds rule; forecasters are eligible for ranking in the final standings if they entered at least two-thirds of all storm contests. With only two contest-worthy storms this season ... those forecasters with one entry only would have been ineligible.

In the interest of fairness; three storms seems like the minimum.

15th Annual 'Season-total'
Verified forecasts here

Saturday, September 17, 2011

The North Atlantic Oscillation: New Monograph from American Geophysical Union

"The Monograph is thematically organized and provides a comprehensive (multidisciplinary) overview of material (theory, observations and models) related to the NAO. There are 12 chapters, each presenting a thorough overview of a topic, and most contain new research as well.

"The NAO is one of the oldest known world weather patterns, as some of the earliest descriptions of it were from seafaring Scandinavians several centuries ago.

"Surface temperatures over the NH are likely to be warmer now than at any other time over the past millennium, and a substantial fraction of this most recent warming is linked to the behavior of the NAO, in particular a trend in its winter index from large amplitude anomalies of one phase in the 1960s to large amplitude anomalies of the opposite phase since the early 1980s.

"That the ocean may play an active role in determining the evolution of the NAO is also one pathway by which some limited predictability might exist. New statistical analyses have revealed patterns in North Atlantic SSTs that precede specific phases of the NAO by 6-9 months, a link that likely involves the remarkable tendency of the extratropical ocean to preserve its thermal state throughout the year."

Expected release date:  early DEC

Overview (.pdf) here.