tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7381088396839841239.post8408209768437650421..comments2024-02-18T10:30:38.243-05:00Comments on NE.Wx Snowfall Forecast Contests: MEI - October / November '06TQhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12460905784186059023noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7381088396839841239.post-13574421534000729102006-12-10T11:20:00.000-05:002006-12-10T11:20:00.000-05:00TQ wrote too quickly...
"If analogs worked...we wo...TQ wrote too quickly...<br />"If analogs worked...we wouldn/t need NWP.<br />If NWP worked...we would need meteorologists.<br />If meteorologists worked..we wouldn/t need Wxsage."<br /><br />Second stanza should read...<br />If NWP worked...we wouldn/t need meteorologists.TQhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12460905784186059023noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7381088396839841239.post-79177280312935183172006-12-08T22:05:00.000-05:002006-12-08T22:05:00.000-05:00Shilleagh...
Analogs are old school...widely used...Shilleagh...<br /><br />Analogs are old school...widely used before the dawn of NWP. I/ve never seen them used with much consistent success...especially during synoptic scale events where forecasters tended to use them to justify their 'doom and gloom' forecasts.<br /><br />I agree in certain situations where there/s confidence that a planetary scale phenomenon...such as ENSO...with known TQhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12460905784186059023noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7381088396839841239.post-45466367111042311992006-12-08T20:49:00.000-05:002006-12-08T20:49:00.000-05:00I looked up climo stats for my neck of the woods -...I looked up climo stats for my neck of the woods - SYR - and 57/58 looks like a bit of a reverse 89/90 winter - w/ Dec blowtorching (+6F, 40$ PORN), Jan about avg (-1F, 100% PORN) and February rockin' (-6F and 225% PORN).<br /><br />It is somewhat surprising that analogs haven't proven themselves better - at least that's what the Gov't scientists claim and I have no reason to doubt them. I'd Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com