Wednesday, December 27, 2017

Winter '17 / '18 - Snow Storm #1: FINAL Results

Forecasters' station verifications and the storm summary at NEWxSFC/s home page.
http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
     
 1st - JessicaCain   
 SUMSQ:17  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.991  
 STP:4.3 (4) 
 TAE:12.0 (1) 
 AAE:0.63 (1) 
     
 2nd - TQ   
 SUMSQ:24  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.858  
 STP:4.7 (5) 
 TAE:14.3 (2) 
 AAE:0.75 (2) 
     
 3rd - Shillelagh   
 SUMSQ:25  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.847  
 STP:3.6 (3) 
 TAE:14.4 (3) 
 AAE:0.76 (3) 
     
 HM - WeatherT   
 SUMSQ:33  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.685  
 STP:0.4 (2) 
 TAE:17.4 (5) 
 AAE:0.92 (5) 
     

SUMSQ:  sum of square errors (")
STP:  storm total precipitation (")
TAE:  total absolute error (")
AAE:  average absolute error (")
(#): rank

Forecast by Observed Snowfall Scatter Plots of Top Forecasters 
 
Station Verification Comparison of Top Forecasters
 
Snowfall Distribution and Magnitude by Station (Power Map - Excel 2013)
 
 

2 comments:

  1. Oh.

    My.

    Gawds.

    When I busted at ABE I said to myself "I'll be lucky if I finish in the top half, never mind coming close to Top 4."

    First place?

    Wow. Just wow.

    Not sure what else to say. I will definitely have something to celebrate Sunday night other than ringing in the new year; Rainbow Mountain Resort won't know what hit them.

    Thank you TQ for running the contest and all your hard work.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Congratulations on your first ... 1st Place finish.

    ReplyDelete