Monday, January 15, 2018

Winter '17 / '18 - Snow Storm #3: Call for Forecasts

Windsor County ... NH
Fast moving storm in a progressive flow regime and marginal low-level temperature profiles are not the best set-up for a contest-worthy storm; however ... NWP sometimes doesn't catch on until the last minute so we/ll hope for the best.

Contest for Snow Storm #3 may be cancelled prior to the deadline if fewer than six stations are likely to observe at least a 4" snowfall.

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Forecast element:  each station's verification period snowfall
Deadline for entries:  10:30 PM EST ... TUE ... 16-JAN-18
Verification begins:  12:01 AM EST ... WED ... 17-JAN-18
Verification ends:  11:59 PM EST ... WED ... 17-JAN-18

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Enter your forecast at the NEWxSFC/s home page here.  http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
Follow the top-of-page link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.

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As always ... there/s no cost ... no fee ... no advertising ... or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast.  It's just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.  See how well your forecast stacks up against NWS Eastern Region Weather Forecast Offices.

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If you are issuing your first forecast this winter...or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest ... you/ll need to create an account (user name / password / valid e-mail ... if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox). sent to your Inbox.
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2 comments:

  1. Unknown1/16/2018 11:10 PM

    I don't think I've seen a report on contest total snowfall, but here are some Dec-Jan first half totals for your interest:

    Loc'n_DEC _JAN td _ TOTAL so far

    CAR _ 34.2 + 25.9 = 60.1
    BGR _ 27.7 + 20.5 = 48.2
    PWM _ 21.4 + 12.4 = 33.8
    CON _ 20.1 + 13.0 = 33.1
    BOS _ _9.2 + 13.7 = 22.9
    ORH _ 13,4 + 17.2 = 30.4
    PVD _ _7.1 + 14.5 = 21.6
    HFD _ _9.8 + 10.2 = 20.0
    BDR _ _8.7 + _9.3 = 18.0
    BTV _ 23.5 + 14.3 = 37.8
    ALB _ 12.1 + _6.7 = 18.8
    BGM _ 11.3 + 11.7 = 23.0
    NYC __ 7.7 + _9.8 = 17.5
    EWR __ 7.7 + _8.4 = 16.1
    ABE __ 9.6 + _1.6 = 11.2
    PHL __ 8.6 + _4.1 = 12.7
    ACY _ 10.0 + 14.2 = 24.2
    MDT __ 6.1 + _1.8 = _7.9
    BWI __ 4.3 + _0.9 = _5.2
    IAD __ 4.6 + _0.1 = _4.7
    DCA __ 1.9 + _0.8 = _2.7
    SBY __ 7.0 + _9.4 = 16.4
    ORF __ _Tr + 10.3 = 10.3
    RIC __ 3.1 + _3.0 = _6.1
    RDU __ 0.3 + _0.9 = _1.2

    Midwest also in low snow regime so far, ORD under 10.0" gets better into MI, OH, PA and ON

    -- Roger Smith

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  2. TQ1/16/2018 11:21 PM


    Now that you mention it ... a DEC snowfall summary hasn't been posted.
    Thanks for the reminder and the research.

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