NE.Wx Snowfall Forecast Contests

Snowfall forecasting contests for 27 stations across New England and the Mid-Atlantic regions ... since 1999

Saturday, December 30, 2006

Public Enemy #1

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Another week of obsessive / compulsive anticyclogenesis from the ern PAC.

Preliminary SOI - December '06

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(Updated below) The SOI is a 30-day moving average and with one day to go before the end of the month the index comes in near -4.9. After f...
Wednesday, December 27, 2006

Time for a Change

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There/s plenty not to like in the LR progs...not the least of which is the rabid PAC jet flooding the lower 48 with unseasonably mild temper...
Sunday, December 24, 2006

Retro

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Does Thursday/s 5H NHEMI T chart -- with its depiction of three distinct waves --suggest a looming pattern change via retrogression. Back up...
Friday, December 22, 2006

12/26 Storm - Contest Worthy?

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Most likely not. All guidance strongly suggests this is a synoptic-scale rain storm with the potential for mesoscale snowfall along the comm...

dModel / dT

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An animation illustrating how the forecast atmosphere is influenced by initial conditions. All panels have a VT @ 12z on 12/26. Click to ani...
Wednesday, December 20, 2006

Implications of Region 3.4/s Latest SSTA - Is el Nino Fading?

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This week/s Nino 3.4 region SSTA comes in @ 1.3°C....down 7% from last week. Is this the beginning of the end? Did it ever get started? Abou...
Tuesday, December 19, 2006

Waiting for -AO -- Stratospheric Warming

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In some circles...the stratosphere was long known as the 'ignorosphere' in large part b/c all sensible wx was observed in the tropos...
Sunday, December 17, 2006

Year to Date

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You know it/s bad. Maybe so bad you/re afraid to look. NEWxSFC has 27 stations in play when snowstorms threaten the forecast area . Snowfall...
Friday, December 15, 2006

Michaelangelo: The Clock/s Ticking Dude

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The restlessness is palatable and it has the unmistakabe taste of anchovies. Will this year end up being another Steinbeck winter of discont...
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