NE.Wx Snowfall Forecast Contests

Snowfall forecasting contests for 27 stations across New England and the Mid-Atlantic regions ... since 1999

Tuesday, December 04, 2012

Winter '12 / '13 - Arctic Oscillation - Analogs

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Analog years selected based on the smallest sum of square errors between current year/s monthly AO index and historical values since 1950...
Sunday, December 02, 2012

Winter '12 / '13 - Waiting in the Wings

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Latest Week2 ensemble forecast from NOAA/s Physical Science Division's  Global Forecast System ( GFS 1998 ) shows a decided change in t...
Saturday, December 01, 2012

Winter '12 / '13 - Arctic Oscillation - Meteorological Winter - Day One

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Not sure it means anything but here's the state of the AO during its 63-year period of record  on the first day of meteorological winte...

Winter '12 / '13 - Season-total Forecast Contest - Forecast Summary

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Eleven forecasters this year. Good to see ya'll back again. Forecaster's are bullish about an above average season. YELLOW c...
Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Winter '12/ '13 - Arctic Oscillation - Is November A Leading Indicator?

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UPDATE (14-DEC-14) Winter '12 / '13 AO:  -1.222 UPDATE (04-DEC-12) NOV/s AO:   -0.111. Probability the average AO is negative f...
Thursday, November 22, 2012

Winter '12 / '13 - Outlooks

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Thread updated periodically as new outlooks and forecasts are issued from a variety of sources. --- Dr. Todd Crawford - WSI Chief Meteoro...
Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Winter '12 / '13 - North Atlantic Oscillation - Trends

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Chart 1 - meteorological winter/s average NAO and 9-point binomial filter. Binomial filter removes noise from signal to reveal trends. 1...
Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Winter '12 / '13 - North Atlantic Oscillation - November As Oracle

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As it turns out...there/s a strong association between the sign of November/s monthly NAO index and the sign of the average NAO index during...
Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Winter '12 / '13 - North Atlantic Oscillation: Analogs

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Analog years selected based on the smallest sum of square errors between current year/s monthly NAO index and historical values since 1950...
Friday, November 09, 2012

Winter '12 / '13 - North Atlantic Oscillation: Long-range Signals and Long-term Trends

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Up until a few years ago...the UKMET office issued a long-lead forecast of the North Atlantic Oscillation's (NAO) phase for the upcoming...
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