Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Winter '17 / '18 - 17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest - Call for Forecasts!

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NEWxSFC Meteorologist-in-Charge Seasonal Forecasts NE.Wx/s 17th annual ‘Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest is the absolute bes...
Thursday, November 23, 2017

Winter '17 / '18 - North Atlantic Oscillation Analog Years

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To date ... 1990 is the leading analog year for the North Atlantic Oscillation ( NAO ) in the run-up to the coming winter. The average ...
Wednesday, November 22, 2017

Winter '17 / '18 - Fans of cold and snow in the U.S. will love this new winter outlook

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Or so reads the headline from Mashable which comes with these nuggets of questionable conventional wisdom: "Along the East Coast of ...
Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Winter '17 / '18 - What about snow during La Niña winters?

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From the ENSO blog at Climate.gov "This La Niña footprint is pretty intuitive. "Given the northward shift of the storm track...
Saturday, November 18, 2017

Winter '17 / '18 - Arctic Oscillation Analog Years

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  To date ... 1973 is the leading analog year for the Arctic Oscillation ( AO ) in the run-up to the coming winter. The average AO for ...
Thursday, November 16, 2017

Winter '17 / '18 - Outlooks

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Thread updated periodically as new outlooks and forecasts are issued from a variety of credible sources.   --- Judah Cohen (AER) via ...
Wednesday, November 15, 2017

Winter '17 / '18 - NOV/s Arctic Oscillation: Winter/s Leading Indicator

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The sign of NOV/s Arctic Oscillation ( AO ) index has a statistically significant (Chi-square Test for Independence; p <= 0.05) associa...
Tuesday, November 07, 2017

Winter '17 / '18 - Eurasia Snow Cover - OCT

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12,052,000 km2 18% above 52-year P-O-R-N (10,225,000 km2) Rank: 11th Lowest in five years Eight of the last nine October above perio...
Sunday, November 05, 2017

Winter '17 / '18 - Eurasia Snow Cover - OCT - Snow Advance Index (SAI)

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OCT-17's snow advance index is negative. Snow Crow suicide watch now in effect. --- AER reports a statistically significant correl...
Sunday, October 29, 2017

Winter '17 / '18 - Eurasia Snow Cover - OCT Preview

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Cohen projecting above normal Eurasia snow cover for OCT ahead of an expected weak La Nina winter (D-J-F). Nine previous weak La Nina wint...