Wednesday, December 18, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - VCP32: Winning the Lottery

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Sunday, December 15, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO): Leading Analogs' 5H and 2mT Composite Anomalies ... as of NOV-19

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NOV-19 NAO:  +0.28 Same analog years as those associated with NAO/s OCT-19 analysis but with a shuffled ranking. Winter / AVG NAO 80-81...
Wednesday, December 11, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - Arctic Oscillation (AO): Leading Analogs' 5H and 2mT Composite Anomalies ... as of NOV-19

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NOV-19 AO:  -1.193 Same analog years as those associated with AO/s OCT-19 analysis but with a shuffled ranking. Winter / AVG AO 97-98 ...
Tuesday, December 10, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - Leading Analog: Winter '04 / '05

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Through a careful multi-variate analysis of key teleconnection indices and the process of elimination ... we/ve settled on the '04 / ...
3 comments:
Thursday, December 05, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - Snow Storm #1: FINAL Results

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Forecaster verifications and the FINAL Results / Storm summary available at NEWxSFC/s home page . SUMSQ:  sum of square error (") ...
Wednesday, December 04, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - Snow Storm #1: Preliminary STP Verification

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AVG SN:H2O is quantity-weighted UPDATE 2 (09-DEC-19 @ 6:50 PM EST):  For the Record - CON STP changed from 6.9" to 7.1...
7 comments:

Winter '19 / '20 - Snow Storm #1: Three Daily Snowfall Records Set - Storm Day 3

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Three forecast stations along the eastern edge of the forecast area set new daily snowfall records on the third and final day of Snow Stor...
Tuesday, December 03, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - Snow Storm #1: Three Daily Snowfall Records Set - Storm Day 2

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Three forecast stations in the central portion of the forecast area set new daily snowfall records on the second day of Snow Storm #1.  T...
Monday, December 02, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - 19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecasting Contest: The Forecasts!

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17 forecasters + P-O-R-N + CONSENSUS Forecaster table ranked by STP BLUE - <= 25th percentile RED - >= 75th percentile P-O-R-...
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Winter '19 / '20 - Snow Storm #1: Six Daily Snowfall Records Set - Storm Day 1

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Six forecast stations in the northeast portion of the forecast area set new daily snowfall records on the first day of Snow Storm #1.  Two...
2 comments: