Tuesday, February 04, 2020

Winter '19 / '20 - 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest: JAN Totals

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JAN-20 snowfall summary by forecast station. Rank ordered descending by percent of monthly period-of-record-normal (P-O-R-N). --- Gree...
Thursday, January 16, 2020

Winter '19 / '20 - Snow Storm #2: Outlook

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UPDATE : 16-JAN-20 @ 7 PM EST Progs trending away from a contest-worthy event. Outside chance the evening runs will proffer a better ...
Sunday, January 05, 2020

Winter '19 / '20 - 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest: DEC Totals

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DEC-19 snowfall summary by forecast station. Rank ordered descending by percent of monthly period-of-record-normal (P-O-R-N). --- Green...
Friday, January 03, 2020

Winter '19 / '20 - VCP32: Getting Any Colder?

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Wednesday, December 18, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - VCP32: Winning the Lottery

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Sunday, December 15, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO): Leading Analogs' 5H and 2mT Composite Anomalies ... as of NOV-19

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NOV-19 NAO:  +0.28 Same analog years as those associated with NAO/s OCT-19 analysis but with a shuffled ranking. Winter / AVG NAO 80-81...
Wednesday, December 11, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - Arctic Oscillation (AO): Leading Analogs' 5H and 2mT Composite Anomalies ... as of NOV-19

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NOV-19 AO:  -1.193 Same analog years as those associated with AO/s OCT-19 analysis but with a shuffled ranking. Winter / AVG AO 97-98 ...
Tuesday, December 10, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - Leading Analog: Winter '04 / '05

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Through a careful multi-variate analysis of key teleconnection indices and the process of elimination ... we/ve settled on the '04 / ...
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Thursday, December 05, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - Snow Storm #1: FINAL Results

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Forecaster verifications and the FINAL Results / Storm summary available at NEWxSFC/s home page . SUMSQ:  sum of square error (") ...
Wednesday, December 04, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - Snow Storm #1: Preliminary STP Verification

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AVG SN:H2O is quantity-weighted UPDATE 2 (09-DEC-19 @ 6:50 PM EST):  For the Record - CON STP changed from 6.9" to 7.1...
7 comments: