Senior forecaster emoran made the best synoptic-scale forecast for NEWxSFC/s fifth snow storm. His 23 station forecast verified with 68.8 SUMSQ error points (Z-Score = -1.352)...which was a 66% improvement over the average error of 205".He hit the trifecta with lowest Total Absolute Error (29.9") and Average Absolute Error (1.3"). His 63% R-SQ score...a measure of how well a forecast captures the variability of the observed snowfall... ranked second.
This is emoran/s second...first place finish this season.
Emoran had the lowest station errors @ HYA PVD BDR ALB MDT DCA.
Emoran wins one FREE month of StormVista GOLD for his forecasting acumen.
2nd Place: anthony (75.1"; -1.290)
3rd Place: donsutherland1 (96"; -1.082)
Donald Rosenfeld...TrekkerCC...and skiGirl came within 5% of the 58.1" storm-total snowfall. skiGirl missed by a mere 0.65"!
Full forecast verification and results summary here.
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