The Climate Prediction Center issued its final winter outlook (0.5 month long-lead) today. Essentially unchanged from last month's outlook.Cooler in the SE...warmer in the Northern and Central Plains...Northern Rockies...and Alaska.
Above normal precipitation along the southern tier of states ...consistant with typical +ENSO storm track.
+ENSO has reached moderate strength in recent weeks. Latest Region 3.4 weekly temperature anomaly is 1.7°C. The 12-week moving average is 1.06°C.
The CPC's forecast for below normal temperatures in the SE suggests a winter where the average Arctic Oscillation below zero.
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