The monthly Arctic Oscillation index has been below zero...15 out of 18 months since JUN-09. The AO fell to an all time low of -4.266 in FEB-10. Last winter's D-J-F average was -2.587.
Persistent HIGH pressure...often associated with a weak polar vortex (PV)...over the north pole allows arctic air to drain into low latitudes. Daily AO values have been negative since mid-NOV. This goes against type considering the QBO is in its westerly phase where the AO is typically positive...a consequence of a strong...cold PV.
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