Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Winter '18 / '19 - Snow Storm #1: Call for Forecasts!

Brooklyn ... NY
26-NOV-38
Cyclogenesis along the Mid-Atlantic progged to develop into an early season Nor'easter & poised to advance on a slowly retreating Arctic HIGH ... shows real promise for plowable snowfalls over northern portions of the forecast area.

Contest-worthy snow storms in NOV are quite rare with only two since NEWxSFC started in 1999 (2003 & 2013).

Earlier than usual deadline (8 PM EST) b/c of the expected pre-midnight on-set of accumulating snows.

Deadline: 8:00 PM EST … THU … 15-NOV-18
Verification begins: 8:00 PM EST … THU … 15-NOV-18
Verification ends: 11:59 PM EST … FRI … 16-NOV-18

Enter your forecast at the NEWxSFC/s home page @ http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
Follow the top center-of-page link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.

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As always ... there/s no cost ... no fee ... no advertising ... or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast.  It's just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.  See how well your forecast stacks up against NWS Eastern Region Weather Forecast Offices.

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If you are issuing your first forecast this winter ... or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest ... you/ll need to create an account (user name / password / valid e-mail ... if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).

NEWxSFC/s email client is permanently off-line.
Forecasters may no longer have a copy of their forecast emailed to them.
Some are getting thorugh.  Some are not.

The Contest/s email address newx (at) newx-forecasts (dot) com remains unreachable.
Apologies for the degraded service which is beyond my control.
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6 comments:

  1. Unknown11/15/2018 1:14 PM

    Do we count snow that falls before 8pm?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous11/15/2018 3:00 PM

    Excellent question!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous11/15/2018 5:28 PM

    I wonder whether the station forecast is the total snow by hour totaled or the total on the ground at the end of verification time.

    ReplyDelete
  4. TQ11/15/2018 7:14 PM

    verification period starts at 8 PM; therefore ... any snow before 8 PM is not counted.

    ReplyDelete
  5. TQ11/15/2018 7:16 PM

    verification is the storm total precipitation for what accumulated AFTER 8 PM THU until 11:59 PM FRI

    ReplyDelete
  6. TQ11/15/2018 7:16 PM

    sorry for the late responses ... I still have a day job ;/

    ReplyDelete