Sunday, February 09, 2025

Winter '24 / '25 - Snow Storm #4: Call for Forecasts!

Dutch Reformed / Bay Ridge Church
2nd Ave Ridge Blvd 80th St
Brooklyn ... NYC (c.1900)

UPDATE:  1:30 PM ET MON ... 10-FEB-25

THIS 'CALL FOR FORECASTS' FOR SNOW STORM #4 HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

TOO FEW STATIONS IN PLAY FOR A CONTEST-WORTHY SNOW STORM.

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Weak wave of LOW pressure moving east from the lee of the Rockies predicted to draw moist air from off the SE CONUS coastal waters and overrun a modified polar air mass dammed against the eastern slopes of the Appalachian mountains on TUE.  

Borderline contest-worthiness with bare number of qualifying stations in play.

- Enter your forecast from NEWxSFC/s home page at http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

- Follow the top-of-page link from 'Enter Snow Storm Forecast'

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Forecast element: each station/s storm-total snowfall

Deadline for entries:  10 PM ET MON ... 10-FEB-25
Verification period BEGINS:  12:01 AM ET TUE ... 11-FEB-25
Verification period ENDS:  11:59 PM ET the day snow stops accumulating

The forecasting contest for Snow Storm #4 may be cancelled prior to the deadline if at least 6
to 8 stations are unlikely to observe at least 4" of storm-total snowfall.

By entering ... you also get the chance to see how well your forecast stacks up against NWS Eastern Region's Weather Forecast Offices. Turns out they/ve been easy to beat!

Who Can Enter

Amateur and professional forecasters; broadcasters with or without trained Seals; any and all other weather-biz types and / or wanna-bees; wish-casters ... astrologers ... along with any other universally recognized class of dreamers; Pollyannas or Cassandras ... registered Nostradamuses ... non-violent megalomaniacs ... woolly-bear caterpillars or their Agents ... pest detectives ... ne.wx news group survivors; riders on the StormVista ... refugees from AmericanWx and/or USWeather free agents ... including self-imposed exiles from Eastern Wx ... and of course ... meteorologists.

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If you are issuing your first forecast this winter ... or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest ... you/ll need to create an account -- user name / password / valid e-mail (if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).

As always ... there/s no cost ... no fee ... no advertising ... or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast. It/s just a fun exercise for snow crows and winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Let's merge 4 and 5, it will be a larger # of contest stations. -- RS

TQ said...

leaning toward cancelling 4 later today b/c too few stations are in play. may then re-issue call for what might have been 5. combining 4 with 5 would have stretched the verification period too far (~4 days) into the future for STP forecasts ... imo.

MON's 12z GFS and ICON have 5 stations in play ,,,