Winter '18 / '19 - Regular Season: Status

Philly

Winter '18 / '19 getting long in the tooth for another contest-worthy snow storm; although ... it/s happened four times previously in April ('02 ... '03 ... '07 ... and '11) which works out to a five-year 'return period' so maybe we get lucky.

Winter '14 / '15 - Global Forecast System Wishing You a Very Merry Christmas

Winter '12 / '13 - Go to Sleep and Dream of Snow

Repost from JAN-07...

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Snow
It won't be long before we'll all be there with snow
Snow
I want to wash my hands, my face and hair with snow

Snow
I long to clear a path and lift a spade of snow
Snow
Oh, to see a great big man entirely made of snow


Where it's snowing
All winter through
That's where I want to be
Snowball throwing
That's what I'll do
How I'm longing to ski
Through the snow-oh-oh-oh-oh



Those glist'ning houses that seem to be built of snow
Snow
Oh, to see a mountain covered with a quilt of snow

What is Christmas with no snow
No white Christmas with no snow
Snow

I'll soon be there with snow
I'll wash my hair with snow
And with a spade of snow
I'll build a man that's made of snow
I'd love to stay up with you but I recommend a little shuteye
Go to sleep
And dream
Of snow

Winter '09 / '10 - Coastal Teaser CANCEL

FORECAST


OBSERVED

La Nina is Back

So sayeth EBerry...

"...tropical forcing does have a MJO component to it, projecting ~1.5 sigma in octant 5...~2 sigma in octant 4 with the interannual component left in. There has been eastward propagation of ~5-6 m/s along the equator for the past couple of weeks."
[...]
"Global relative AAM (plots updated through 20 November) is ~1 standard deviation (1 AMU) above the R1 data climatology, working with ~ plus 40 Hadley positive global tendency."
[...]
"At times, during the last several weeks, there have been well defined projections onto a positive phase of the Branstator (2002) circumglobal teleconnection (anomalous midlatitude ridges)."

Who among us could argue anything but?

Almanac Outlooks - Winter '08 / '09

FWIW...

Fantasy 312 - How Much for Philly?

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