Winter '24 / '25 - Snow Storm #3: Call for Forecasts!
Deadline for entries: 10 PM ET - FRI ... 07-FEB-25
Details to follow.
Snowfall forecasting contests for 27 stations across New England and the Mid-Atlantic regions ... since 1999
Deadline for entries: 10 PM ET - FRI ... 07-FEB-25
Details to follow.
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NYC 26-DEC-47 |
JAN-25 snowfall summary by forecast station.
Rank ordered descending by percent of monthly period-of-record-normal (P-O-R-N).
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BWI - Mount Vernon Place (1938) |
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NYC - West Broadway at Spring Street (1983) |
HYA
STP derived from inverse distanced-weighted scheme based on vicinity reports from PNSBOX.
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Summary SLR value is quantity-weighted.
Stations with SLR < 8 are not reported b/c of contamination from liquid or freezing precipitation.
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DC N St ... NW (2007) |
Everyone/s station-by-station forecast at the Contest/s web site.
Direct link to the forecast table.
Rookie -
Intern -
Journey -
Senior 14
Chief 1
GOVT 1
PWSP 1
TOT 17
Forecaster table ranked ascending by the forecast storm-total precipitation (STP)
BLUE ==> 1st quartile
RED ==> 4th quartile
WHITE and GREY STP cells range between the 1st and 4th quartile
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NYC 27-JAN-1937 |
On SUN ... surface LOW pressure predicted to undergo explosive development -- deepening ~25 mb in 24 hours -- as it moves early in the period from western NC toward the NE along the eastern seaboard then on to the CN maritime provinces by the wee hours of MON morning.
Contest-worthy storm-total snowfalls expected mainly over the northern two-thirds of the forecast area.
- Enter your forecast from NEWxSFC/s home page at http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
- Follow the top-of-page link from 'Enter Snow Storm Forecast'
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Forecast element: each station/s storm-total snowfall
Deadline for entries: 10 PM ET SAT ... 18-JAN-25
Verification period BEGINS: 12:01 AM ET SUN ... 19-JAN-25
Verification period ENDS: 11:59 PM ET the day snow stops accumulating
The forecasting contest for Snow Storm #2 may be cancelled prior to the deadline if at least 6
to 8 stations are unlikely to observe 4" or more storm-total snowfall.
By entering ... you also get the chance to see how well your forecast stacks up against NWS Eastern Region's Weather Forecast Offices. Turns out they/ve been easy to beat!
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DC Connecticut Ave and Chevy Chase Circle - 1942 |
Green ==> 4th quartile
White ==> less than 4th and greater than 1st quartile (inter-quartile range)
Red ==> 1st quartile
'Obs' reporting '0.05' denote 'Trace' amounts (observed but not measurable).
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DEC Forecast Station Highlights
1 station observed at least 100% of its monthly climo snowfall (BGM).
Biggest Losers
9 stations with less than 10%.
2 stations observed trace amounts (displayed as 0.05").
3 stations not a single flake ... ice pellet ... or hailstone observed.
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Season-total-to-Date
DEC P-O-R-N contributes 207" (22%) toward the season-total (D-J-F-M) snowfall of 936".
DEC-24 observed snowfall: 130" (63% of monthly P-O-R-N; 14% of P-O-R-N season-total snowfall).
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NYC 26-DEC-47 |
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Forecaster Skill Score (measured against NWS ER WFOs)