Season-total Deadline is Tonight...

...@ 11:59:59 PM for the Season-total snowfall forecasting contest. 22 entries so far.

Coastal Teaser

A-H-H, come to Papa!

And please...don't make me beg for what could be the season's 1st Contest storm.

DISCUSSION: Lo-latitude open wave progged to form off SE coast following cold fropa in the E this weekend. GooFuS and GEM bring a rapidly deepening LOW up the coast but keep it SE of 40/70 benchmark.

NWP spawns the LOW in preferred region during el Nino years. Eastern extension of strong, parent HIGH centered over northern Plains has arctic origins, so baroclinicity would be favorable. Upper trof is initially progressive except for a brief period where it digs in its heels and the GL LOW all but captures the ATL LOW keeping SFC feature close to coast.

Still plenty-o-time for this teaser to vanish into the ether or wisk into open waters...although don't discount the fact it's forecast to happen on December 5th.

Give the image a click to animate a short loop.

N-I-C-E!

168 - 240 HR mean 5H Z and anomalies from 12z ECMWF (l) and GooFuS (r).

Ridge-W axis a smidge too far E of preferred 125°W posn for downstream EC snow storms, but it sure is a step in the right direction.

6th Annual Season-total Snowfall Forecast Contest

NE.Wx/s annual ‘Season-Total Snowfall Forecasting Contest’ is your absolute best, biggest, and probably ONLY chance to be recognized for your long-range forecasting acumen; a recognition you so richly deserve.

Not only that, but if you win the Contest, you get a copy of "The Snow Booklet", by Nolan J. Doesken and Arthur Judson.

What other incentive to enter the Contest could you possibly want?

The Contest is open to any and all of the following:
NE.Wx Usenet NG regulars and lurkers; amateur and professional forecasters; broadcasters with or without trained Seals; weather-biz types and wanna-bees; wish-casters, astrologers and other class of dreamers; Pollyannas or Cassandras; registered Nostradamists; non-violent megalomaniacs; woolly-bear caterpillars or their agents; pest detectives, EUSWx refugees and meteorologists.

Trolls, goats, hat3-lsiters, and psests need not apply.

The reigning NE.Wx ‘Season-Total’ Snowfall Forecasting Champ-een is Donald Rosenfeld.

Forecast element: sum-total season snowfall
Forecast period: December 1, 2006 through March 31, 2007
Verification: NWS preliminary climate reports (CLM or F6)

Deadline: Thursday, November 30, 2006 @ 11:59 PM EST

Visit the website for the station list.