Saturday, December 03, 2016
Thursday, November 24, 2016
Winter '16 / '17 - 16th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest - Call for Forecasts!
And it's easy.
All you have to do is forecast the season-total snowfall at 25 stations from RDU to CAR!
Deadline: WED ... 30-NOV-16 @ 11:59 PM EST
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Visit the Contest's website to enter your forecast.
Follow the link at the top of the page to 'Enter Season-total Forecast.'
1st place prize (delivered post-paid right to your front door):
"The Snow Booklet" by Nolan J. Doesken and Arthur Judson (paperback) and "Snow in America" by Bernard Mergan (hardcover)
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As always ... NO cost ... NO fees ... NO advertising ... NO annoying requests for personal information to enter the contest. NEWxSFC is just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best season-total snowfall forecast.
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Forecast element: sum-total season snowfall @ each station
Forecast period: 01-DEC-16 through 31-MAR-17
Verification: NWS preliminary climate reports (CLM or CF6)
Error statistic: total absolute error [Σ abs(forecast - observed)]
Update your forecast as often as you want prior to the deadline.
Only your last entry gets verified.
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The reigning NE.Wx ‘Season-Total’ Snowfall Forecasting Champ-een is snowman
Last year's 'Season-total' forecast summary ... verification ... and final results ==> here
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The Contest is open to amateur and professional forecasters; broadcasters with or without trained Seals; any and all weather-biz types and / or wanna-bees; wish-casters ... astrologers ... along with any other universally recognized classes of dreamers; Pollyannas or Cassandras ... registered Nostradamusts ... non-violent megalomaniacs ... woolly-bear caterpillars or their agents ... pest detectives ... NE.Wx NG veterans and lurkers; refugees from AmericanWx and/or USWeather ... including self-imposed exiles from Eastern Wx ... and of course ... meteorologists.
In honor of USENET/s ne.weather/s patron saint Mr. Joseph Bartlo's final request (RIP) ... trolls ... goats ... hat3-lsiters ... and psests need not apply.
Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Winter '15 / '16 Regular Season Snowfall Contest Note
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| Great Blizzard of 1888 - Wilmington ... DE Market St looking N from 10th St |
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No FINAL standings
Two contest-worthy storms were too few for a valid contest.
Under the 'two-thirds' rule;
Forecasters are included in end-of-season rankings
if they entered at least two-thirds of all storm contests.
Given only two contest-worthy storms during the season ... forecasters with one entry only would not have been eligible.
In the interest of fairness; forecasters should have at least three opportunities to enter ... so three storms seems like the bare minimum to make certain a valid contest.
Winter '16 / '17 - Outlooks
Saturday, October 22, 2016
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