Friday, February 15, 2008

Contest # 6 - Results

Donsutherland1 (aka WxMachine?) spanked us all AGAIN with a rousing SUMSQ error of 40.4"...a 60% improvement over the Consensus error of 102".

He hit the trifecta AGAIN placing 1st in Total Absolute Error (23.1")...Average Absolute Error (0.86").

His Storm Total Precipitation (STP) error of 2.1" was within 5% of the observed STP and 87 eye-popping percent better than Consensus.

Congratulations...Donsutherland1. Nicely done!

2nd Place: Mitch Volk
3rd Place: dmcguriman
HM: TQ

Full forecast verification and summary at the web site.

One entry was disqualified from ranking because the normalized SUMSQ Error was an extreme outlier (more than 3 standard deviations above the mean).

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