Sunday, February 1, 2009

Interim Standings

After seven snow storms... donsutherland1 holds the lead... shanabe moves back into second...and Donald Rosenfeld...hot off two straight wins...advances to third.

Several forecasters ranked in previous Interim Standings had not entered at least five forecasts and were not eligible for this summary under the ‘two-thirds’ rule.

Full interim forecaster error statistics table and charts here.

Forecaster storm summary data here.

SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score'...then averaged to compute the standings. Forecasters who have entered at least 2/3 of all snow storm contests are included in the standings.

If a forecaster has participated in more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests...then Z-scores from two-thirds of their best forecasts are used to calculate Interim and Final standings. Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before the final grade is computed.

Previous Interim summary here.

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