Winter '11 / '12 - Snow Storm #2 - Call for Forecasts
UPDATE:
'Call for Forecasts' CANCELLED.
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Looks to be more than enough snow potential along the northern edge of the precipitation shield to warrant a contest...especially this winter when contest-worthy storms have be MIA.
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| JFK Airport 10-FEB-69 |
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Forecast element: storm-total snowfall
Deadline for entries: 10:30 PM EST FRI...10-FEB-12
Verification period begins: 12:01 AM SAT...11-FEB-12
Verification period ends: 11:59 PM SAT...11-FEB-12
Enter your forecast at the Contest's home page here.
Follow the link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.'
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As always...there/s no cost...or fee...or advertising...or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast. It's just a fun exercise among winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.
If you are issuing your first forecast this winter...or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest...you/ll need to create an account (user name / password / valid e-mail...if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).
Want to be notified via e-mail when a 'Call for Forecasts' is issued?
Send your request to newx at newx-forecasts dot com.
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2 comments:
CONTEST STATUS - Updated FRI...10-FEB-12 @ 10:30 PM EST
"The contest may be canceled prior to the deadline if NWP indicates a fizzling event."
"FXUS61 KBOX 110011
AFDBOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
711 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2012
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET WILL BRING ACCUMULATING
SNOW TO MOST OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE STORM
WILL BE FOLLOWED BY COLD AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS SAT NIGHT THROUGH
SUN NIGHT. MODERATING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED NEXT WEEK"
NWP had been trending away from a contest-worthy event each run after the 'Call for Forecasts' was issued Thursday evening.
Accumulating snow must be more than nuisance amounts.
From 'What/s A Contest-worthy Snow Storm?'
"Not every snowstorm that affects the forecast area will trigger a contest. The criteria used to decide whether a storm is contest-worthy are loosely defined as one that/s expected to:
1.Affect at least six to eight forecast stations and
2.Produce more than a nuisance snowfall (>= 4") and
3.Be well-progged by NWP ~36 to 48 hours before snow is observed at any one station."
http://newxsfc.blogspot.com/2006/11/individual-storm-contest-season.html
The Contest for Storm #2 was cancelled b/c two out of three conditions were not satisfied before the deadline.
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