Winter '16 / '17 - Snow Storm #4: FINAL Results
UPDATE:
THX to Forecaster Roger Smith for alerting us to important errors in the STP verification data (forgot in include 13-MAR snowfall - 1D10T error). Stats and standings have been corrected.
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Original post 17-MAR-17 @ 10:15 PM EDT
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Forecaster's station verifications and the storm summary at NEWxSFC/s home page.
http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
1st - Shillelagh | ||||
SUMSQ: | 864 | |||
SUMSQ Z: | -1.627 | |||
STP: | 28.9 | (5) | ||
TAE: | 86.8 | (1) | ||
AAE: | 3.47 | (1) | ||
2nd - WeatherT | ||||
SUMSQ: | 1264 | |||
SUMSQ Z: | -1.024 | |||
STP: | 45.8 | (9) | ||
TAE: | 129.0 | (3) | ||
AAE: | 5.16 | (3) | ||
3rd - Brad Yehl | ||||
SUMSQ: | 1401 | |||
SUMSQ Z: | -0.816 | |||
STP: | 46.3 | (10) | ||
TAE: | 133.1 | (4) | ||
AAE: | 5.32 | (4) | ||
HM - JessicaCain | ||||
SUMSQ: | 1417 | |||
SUMSQ Z: | -0.792 | |||
STP: | 49.1 | (11) | ||
TAE: | 138.1 | (5) | ||
AAE: | 5.53 | (6) | ||
3 comments:
Whoa. Not sure how I pulled this out...if you only knew where I entered my forecasts from...let's just say there were "spirits" and a jukebox involved. I went with my gut on this as I didn't have access to last rounds of models but the west trend seemed credible and I kept thinking back to the #2 storm CIPS analog...March 1993, which hugged the coast - and effed me with 3" of snow and rain and dryslot in SECT - #neverforget ;). As Twain said, paraphrasing...history doesn't repeat but it does rhyme...
Shillelagh
And as always, Thank you for running this contest TQ. Most appreciated.
Thanks for playing and congratulations on a crushing the competition.
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