Winter '18 / '19 - How Much For Philly?

A weak-to-moderate El Niño continues to be the consensus forecast for Winter '18 / '19.

Weak-to-moderate El Niño conditions -- defined generally as sea surface temperature anomalies at least 0.5°C above normal near the International Dateline in the tropical Pacific ocean -- correlates with more than a few more inches of snow than average in and around Philly.

One problem; average isn't always the best metric to describe what's typical or most likely to occur.  That honor frequently falls to the median.

As such ... the median snowfall is four inches less than the 23" 51-year average suggesting this winter's season-total snowfall in Philly could very be up to seven inches more than most other winters.