Winter '18 / '19 - Snow Storm #4: Call for Forecasts!
Miller-B type cyclogenesis along the nearshore waters of the upper M-A coast associated with a mid-latitude cyclone tracking NE across the Great Lakes throughout the forecast period expected to produce the season/s 4th 'contest-worthy' snow storm.
Vertical temperature profiles from numerical weather prediction models suggest the possibility for mixed forms of frozen precipitation i.e., snow and sleet. Verifying storm-total snowfall totals will include sleet accumulations.
The contest for Snow Storm #4 may be cancelled prior to the deadline if fewer than six stations are likely to observe at least a 4" storm-total snowfall.
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Forecast element: each station's storm-total snowfall
Deadline for entries: 10:00 PM EST ... SUN ... 10-FEB-19
Verification begins: 12:01 AM EST ... MON ... 11-FEB-19
Verification ends: 11:59 PM EST ... WED ... 13-FEB-19
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Enter your forecast at the NEWxSFC/s home page here. http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
Follow the top-of-page link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.
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As always ... there/s no cost ... no fee ... no advertising ... or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast. It/s just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.
You also get the chance to see how well your forecast stacks up against NWS Eastern Region Weather Forecast Offices (turns out they/ve been pretty easy to beat!)
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If you are issuing your first forecast this winter ... or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest ... you/ll need to create an account -- user name / password / valid e-mail (if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).
Vertical temperature profiles from numerical weather prediction models suggest the possibility for mixed forms of frozen precipitation i.e., snow and sleet. Verifying storm-total snowfall totals will include sleet accumulations.
The contest for Snow Storm #4 may be cancelled prior to the deadline if fewer than six stations are likely to observe at least a 4" storm-total snowfall.
---
Forecast element: each station's storm-total snowfall
Deadline for entries: 10:00 PM EST ... SUN ... 10-FEB-19
Verification begins: 12:01 AM EST ... MON ... 11-FEB-19
Verification ends: 11:59 PM EST ... WED ... 13-FEB-19
---
Enter your forecast at the NEWxSFC/s home page here. http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
Follow the top-of-page link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.
---
As always ... there/s no cost ... no fee ... no advertising ... or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast. It/s just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.
You also get the chance to see how well your forecast stacks up against NWS Eastern Region Weather Forecast Offices (turns out they/ve been pretty easy to beat!)
---
If you are issuing your first forecast this winter ... or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest ... you/ll need to create an account -- user name / password / valid e-mail (if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).
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