Friday, March 1, 2019

Winter '18 / '19 - Snow Storm #5: Call for Forecasts! Take 2

Boston Commons
MAR-33

Snow Storm #5 ... a late season nor'easter ... takes aim at most of the forecast area to open the season/s final quarter.

Rapid deepening of the mid-latitude cyclone during its approach and transit near 'Teh Benchmark' (40N/70W) typically produces bonus snows over SNE/s I-95 corridor.  Lack of Arctic air anchored north of the LOW could play a important role defining the RN / SN transition zone.

NOTE:  Any snowfall observed over extreme northern forecast stations (e.g., CAR ... BGR ... etc.) from the exiting storm during the first few hours of SUN should not be included in your forecast.

The forecasting contest for Snow Storm #5 may be cancelled prior to the deadline if at least six-to-eight stations are unlikely to observe at least a 4" storm-total snowfall.

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Forecast element: each station/s storm-total snowfall

Deadline for entries: 10:00 PM EST ... SAT ... 02-MAR-19
Verification begins: 12:01 AM EST ... SUN ... 03-MAR-19
Verification ends: 11:59 PM EST ... MON ... 04-MAR-19

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Enter your forecast at the NEWxSFC/s home page HERE. (http://www.newx-forecasts.com/)
Follow the top-of-page link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.'

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As always ... there/s no cost ... no fee ... no advertising ... or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast. It/s just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.

You also get the chance to see how well your forecast stacks up against NWS Eastern Region Weather Forecast Offices (turns out they/ve been fairly easy to beat!)

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If you are issuing your first forecast this winter ... or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest ... you/ll need to create an account -- user name / password / valid e-mail (if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).

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