CONTEST STATUS - Updated: TUE ... 01-SEP-20 @ 11 AM EDT

Winter '20 / '21 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
22nd Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Season starts when flakes start a'flyin'
Watch this space

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20th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Window for entries opens on 01-NOV-20 @ 12:01 AM EDT and closes on 30-NOV-20 at 11:59 PM EST

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Winter '19 / '20 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
21th Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Season ended as quickly as it started.
No winner this go'round ... too few storms (minimum of three required)

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19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

Monday, April 8, 2019

Winter '18 / '19 - 18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest: FINAL Results

UPDATE (08-APR-19)
Forecaster verification table at the Contest web site (direct link)
Season-total snowfall v period-or-record normal trend chart

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Original post:  (07-APR-19 @ 8:30 PM EDT)

Congratulations to Donald Rosenfeld for his 1st Place finish.
Donald also placed first in '05 / '06 and '12 / '13.

Forecasters ranked by their total absolute error.



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Season-total snowfall from all stations (784") came in 14% below the period-of-record normal (914").
Winter '18 / '19 ranks 11th among other Contest years since winter '04 / '05 ... the season when BGR and BGM were added to the station list.

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Apologies for the abbreviated recap.
Will add to the pile a little at a time this week including each forecaster's station-by-station verification.

3 comments:

Unknown said...

Thanks for the contest. Seems like a winter that never quite got its act together but was not just a mild snowless shutout either. We can hope for better things in 19-20 perhaps. -- Roger Smith

Anonymous said...

Thanks for running the contest again TQ! It's such a crapshoot but fun to try and outguess everyone!

-Shillelagh

TQ said...

Like my Pappy used to say: out-guessing is far and away better than out-gassing.