CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 18-JAN-20 @ 1:15 PM EST

Winter '19 / '20 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
21st Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest

Snow Storm #2
Synoptiscope in VCP32

Snow Storm #1 (01-DEC-19)
FINAL Results here

19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Deadline for entries has passed
Verification period: 01-DEC-19 through 31-MAR-20
The Forecasts here

Winter '18 / '19 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
20th Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here
Forecaster verification table here

Monday, April 8, 2019

Winter '18 / '19 - 18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest: FINAL Results

UPDATE (08-APR-19)
Forecaster verification table at the Contest web site (direct link)
Season-total snowfall v period-or-record normal trend chart

Original post:  (07-APR-19 @ 8:30 PM EDT)

Congratulations to Donald Rosenfeld for his 1st Place finish.
Donald also placed first in '05 / '06 and '12 / '13.

Forecasters ranked by their total absolute error.


Season-total snowfall from all stations (784") came in 14% below the period-of-record normal (914").
Winter '18 / '19 ranks 11th among other Contest years since winter '04 / '05 ... the season when BGR and BGM were added to the station list.

Apologies for the abbreviated recap.
Will add to the pile a little at a time this week including each forecaster's station-by-station verification.


Unknown said...

Thanks for the contest. Seems like a winter that never quite got its act together but was not just a mild snowless shutout either. We can hope for better things in 19-20 perhaps. -- Roger Smith

Anonymous said...

Thanks for running the contest again TQ! It's such a crapshoot but fun to try and outguess everyone!


TQ said...

Like my Pappy used to say: out-guessing is far and away better than out-gassing.