Winter '18 / '19 - 18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest: FINAL Results
UPDATE (08-APR-19)
Forecaster verification table at the Contest web site (direct link)
Season-total snowfall v period-or-record normal trend chart
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Original post: (07-APR-19 @ 8:30 PM EDT)
Congratulations to Donald Rosenfeld for his 1st Place finish.
Donald also placed first in '05 / '06 and '12 / '13.
Forecasters ranked by their total absolute error.
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Season-total snowfall from all stations (784") came in 14% below the period-of-record normal (914").
Winter '18 / '19 ranks 11th among other Contest years since winter '04 / '05 ... the season when BGR and BGM were added to the station list.
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Apologies for the abbreviated recap.
Will add to the pile a little at a time this week including each forecaster's station-by-station verification.
Posts
3 comments:
Thanks for the contest. Seems like a winter that never quite got its act together but was not just a mild snowless shutout either. We can hope for better things in 19-20 perhaps. -- Roger Smith
Thanks for running the contest again TQ! It's such a crapshoot but fun to try and outguess everyone!
-Shillelagh
Like my Pappy used to say: out-guessing is far and away better than out-gassing.
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