Friday, November 1, 2024

Winter '24 / '25 - 24th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest: Call for Forecasts!

NEWxSFC/s
Director of Season-total Snowfall Forecasting

NEWxSFC runs the longest continuously held snowfall forecasting contests on the World Wide Web.

Our 24th annual ‘season-total' snowfall forecast contest is a great opportunity to demonstrate your long-range forecasting acumen ... and if you get lucky ... win some books about meteorology ... too.

And it/s really easy.
All you have to do is predict the 'season-total' snowfall at 25 stations across the mid-Atlantic and New England regions from Raleigh ... NC (RDU) to Caribou ... ME (CAR).

If you're new to season-total snowfall forecasting ... start off with climatology and go from there.

Deadline for entries: TUE ... 10-DEC-24 @ 11:59 PM EST (11-DEC-24 @ 4:59 UTC)

Visit the Contest's website to enter your forecast.

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Forecast element:

season-total snowfall @ each station

Forecast period:
01-DEC-24 through 31-MAR-25
(be sure to include any snowfall observed between 01-DEC and 10-DEC entry deadline)

Error statistic: total absolute error
[Σ abs(forecast - observed)]

Low. Score. Wins.

Verification:
NWS climate reports (CLM or CF6)

Deadline for entries: TUE ... 10-DEC-24 @ 11:59 PM EST (11-DEC-24 @ 4:59 UTC)

Update your forecast as often as you want prior to the deadline.
Only the last entry gets verified.

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1st place prize (delivered post-paid right to your front door):
... choice of a book from NEWxSFC library
... the august and coveted title 'Chief Season-total Snowfall Forecaster' for Winter '25 / '26 and
... a well-deserved place of high esteem and honor with past winners.

2nd place prize (delivered post-paid right to your front door):
... choice of a book from NEWxSFC library
... a well-deserved place honor with past winners.

3rd place prize (delivered post-paid right to your front door):
... choice of a book from NEWxSFC library
... a well-deserved place honor with past winners.

Honorable Mention: a well-deserved place of honor with past winners.

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The reigning NE.Wx ‘Season-Total’ Snowfall Forecasting Champ-een is Senior Forecaster WXCHEMIST.

Last winter's 'Season-total' forecast summary ... verification ... and final results here.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Yay! Thanks for doing it again. Too bad Syracuse isn't a contest city. Entering 0's for the new normal would be so fun.

TQ said...

great to see you back for another go'round. maybe this time you'll make it to the alter!