Winter '24 / '25 - 24th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest: The Forecasts!
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| 19-OCT-1940 |
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Welcome and Good Luck to All 🍀🍀🍀
Senior NEWxSFC forecaster WXCHEMIST ... having made the best 'season-total' snowfall forecast for Winter '23 / '24 ... returns this year to defend his 'Chief Season-total Forecaster' title.
Forecasters also compete against the Period-of-Record Normal (P-O-R-N) and CONSENSUS.
Table below rank-orders forecasts by ascending season-total snowfall.
BLUE - Quartile 1
RED - Quartile 4
ORANGE - Winter '24 / '25 Chief 'Season-total' forecaster
P-O-R-N - Period-Of-Record Normal
CONSENSUS - median forecast for each station
Forecasts submitted with decimal values have been recorded as such for verification; however ... rounding was applied for display purposes only.
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Forecasters: 20
Total station forecasts: 500 (excluding P-O-R-N & CONSENSUS)
Station forecasts for:
ABV normal: 66%
Normal: 5%
BLO normal: 30%
All forecasts at the Contest/s web site. (direct link to forecasts here).
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Last SIX winter's have birthed below-normal season-total snowfall. Probably fair to say we're due; although we said the same ting last year :(
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The 26th annual individual snow storm forecast contests start when the flakes from a contest-worthy storm start flyin'.
'Call for Forecasts' announcements issued on this fine blog ... web site ... Facebook ... and via email.
All forecasts at the Contest/s web site. (direct link to forecasts here).
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Last SIX winter's have birthed below-normal season-total snowfall. Probably fair to say we're due; although we said the same ting last year :(
---
The 26th annual individual snow storm forecast contests start when the flakes from a contest-worthy storm start flyin'.
'Call for Forecasts' announcements issued on this fine blog ... web site ... Facebook ... and via email.
Posts
4 comments:
Oops, I mixed up DCA and IAD, it's my error not yours (checked entry) but I definitely meant to predict 13" at DCA and 19" at IAD. Good luck everybody, especially anybody saying more snow. -- Roger S
pas problem. will change it in the database.
Kind of you, I wasn't expecting you to do so, but I need all the help I can get, starting with any sort of winter pattern change because if what we see now persists all winter, we'll be lucky to get 50% of PORN and I want a lot of PORN. -- RS
this happens from time to time and we're happy to abide.
way too early to give up on winter. GFS ENS prog AO <0 and PNA > 0 next 15 days. -AO far more important than -NAO for decent contest-area snowfalls. only MWN gets the bulk of its annual snowfall in DEC.
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