Winter '24 / '25 - Snow Storm #2: FINAL Results and Storm Summary
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BWI - Mount Vernon Place (1938) |
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SUMSQ: sum of square error (")
SUMSQ Z: Z-score
STP: storm total precipitation error (")
TAE: total absolute error (")
AAE: average absolute error (")
(#): category rank
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Forecast by Observed Snowfall Scatterplots for Top 4 Forecasts
Forecast/s dotted blue line below (above) the Observed snowfall/s solid red line ==> under (over) forecast error.
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Comparison of Top 4 Forecasts and Observed Snowfall by Station
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Forecaster Skill Score (measured against NWS ER WFOs)
- Positive (negative) skill values indicate the degree of a forecast/s improvement (degradation) compared to NWS forecasts.
- Bias: the arithmetic difference between the average Forecast snowfall and the average Observed snowfall (avgForecast - avgObserved).
2 comments:
Great work, BTW min forecast 2nd best CAR, great minds etc. -- RS
tyvm ...
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