Thursday, December 27, 2012

Winter '12 / '13 - Storm #2: Call for Forecasts!

NYC
27-DEC-47

Another Miller A-B hybrid storm heading toward the forecast area.

Southern stream LOW forms in the Gulf of Mexico.  Second decaying LOW INVOF the Great Lakes drifting east in the northern stream.

Stronger GOM LOW captures the Lake's LOW over the western M-A.  Rapid deepening near the 40/70 benchmark late in the period as the storm kicks out to sea.  Mainly a rain event over the water and contest-worthy snows over the northern M-A and SNE.

Storm #2 potential appears marginal at post time where the best case scenario produces widespread plowable snowfall; however...there are equal chances for widespread nuisance amounts.

The forecast contest for Storm #2 may be canceled prior to deadline if NWP indicates a fizzling event.

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Forecast element: storm-total snowfall
Deadline for entries: 10:30 PM EST FRI...28-DEC-12

Verification period begins: 12:01 AM SAT...29-DEC-12
Verification period ends: 11:59 PM SAT...29-DEC-12

Enter your forecast at the Contest's home page here.
Follow the link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.'

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As always...there/s no cost...or fee...or advertising...or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast. It's just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.

If you are issuing your first forecast this winter...or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest...you/ll need to create an account (user name / password / valid e-mail...if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).
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Want to be notified via e-mail when the 'Call for Forecast' is issued?
Send requests to 'newx at newx-forecasts dot com'.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Verification period ends: 11:59 PM SAT...29-DEC-12