Friday, January 30, 2015

Winter '14 / '15 - Storm #3: Call for Forecasts!

NYC
02-FEB-1969
Paparazzi is still in business!
 
This weekend/s storm comes courtesy of an upper level LOW positioned off the Baja coast of Mexico on 25-JAN. 

The western long wave ridge rolled over the LOW as it moved inland.  The advancing ridge in turn amplified the full-latitude trof over the east ... the same trof responsible for record snowfalls for Storm #2 ... and pulled the remnants of the upper LOW into the 4-corners region today.

As the trof shears out to the east on SAT .. surface LOW pressure begins to develop in the lee of the southern Rockies and starts organizing INVOF the Arklatex early SUN morning. 


Over-running frozen precipitation expected in the Arctic air north of the warm front attending the LOW and along the backside of the system as it moves up the M-A and NE coast.

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Forecast element: storm-total snowfall
Deadline for entries:  10:30 PM EST ... SAT ... 31-JAN-15

Verification begins:  12:01 AM EST ... SUN ... 01-FEB-15
Verification ends:  when the snow stops falling

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Enter your forecast at the NEWxSFC/s home page here.
Follow the top-of-page link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.

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As always ... there/s no cost ... no fee ... no advertising ... or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast.  It's just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.

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If you are issuing your first forecast this winter...or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest ... you/ll need to create an account (user name / password / valid e-mail ... if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).

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