Monday, January 18, 2016

Winter '15 / '16 - Coastal Teaser #3


Decent inter - and intra-run-to-run consistency suggesting this season's first contest-worthy snow storm may be in the offing toward week's end.

Timing the on-set of precipitation remains a moving target.  18-JAN / 00z GFS pointing toward FRI AM over southern portions of the forecast area.

'Call for Forecasts' possible WED evening (20-JAN).

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There have been five previous winters without a contest-worthy storm in DEC ('99-'00, '06-'07, '11-'12, and '14-'15).

The first storms those winters were:
1/20/00
2/14/07
1/21/12
1/26/15

Total snowfall forecasting contests those winters:
'99-'00:  5
'06-'07:  5
'11-'12:  2
'14-'15:  6

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Hang in there forecasters.
All is (probably) not lost.

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NWP image courtesy meteocentre.com

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