CONTEST STATUS - Updated: TUE ... 15-JAN-19 @ 6:35 PM EST

Winter '18 / '19 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

20th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest

What's A 'Contest-worthy' Storm?

Snow Storm #2
Possible 'Call for Forecasts' THU ... 17-JAN-19

Snow Storm #1
FINAL results here
18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest

Deadline for entries has passed.
Forecasts here

Verification period: 01-DEC-18 thru 31-MAR-19

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Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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19th Annual 'Regular Season'

FINAL results here

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17th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here


Sunday, January 21, 2018

Winter '17 / '18 - Regular Season Interim Standings: 1

Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule … forecasters who have entered at least TWO forecasts are included in the interim standings.


Complete interim statistics table and charts at the Contest/s web site here. (fixed)
Forecaster statistics for Winter '17 / '18 contest snow storms here.

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SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score' ... then averaged to compute the standings. If a forecaster has issued forecasts for more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests ... then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate the Interim and Final standings.

Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before computing the final grade.

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