CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 17-FEB-18 @ 5:10 PM EST

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
19th Annual 'Regular Season'
- Interim Standings ... as of Snow Storm #4 here

- Snow Storm #5: 17-FEB-18
Deadline for entries has passed.
The Forecasts! here

- Snow Storm #4: 07-FEB-18
FINAL Results here

- Snow Storm #3: 17-JAN-18
FINAL Results here

17th Annual 'Season-total'
Deadline for entries has passed
Forecasters' summary here

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Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
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18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

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16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Sunday, January 21, 2018

Winter '17 / '18 - Regular Season Interim Standings: 1

Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule … forecasters who have entered at least TWO forecasts are included in the interim standings.


Complete interim statistics table and charts at the Contest/s web site here. (fixed)
Forecaster statistics for Winter '17 / '18 contest snow storms here.

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SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized with a 'Z-score' ... then averaged to compute the standings. If a forecaster has issued forecasts for more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests ... then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate the Interim and Final standings.

Same idea as dropping the lowest quiz score before computing the final grade.

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