Saturday, March 24, 2018

Winter '17 / '18 - Snow Storm #8: FINAL Results

Forecasters' station verifications and the storm summary at NEWxSFC/s home page.
http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

     
 1st - Brad Yehl   
 SUMSQ:278  
 SUMSQ Z:-1.279  
 STP:28.9 (3) 
 TAE:65.1 (1) 
 AAE:2.50 (1) 
     
 2nd - Shillelagh   
 SUMSQ:380  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.845  
 STP:43.4 (5) 
 TAE:73.7 (2) 
 AAE:2.95 (2) 
     
 3rd - donsutherland1   
 SUMSQ:483  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.408  
 STP:64.9 (9) 
 TAE:90.3 (5) 
 AAE:3.34 (4) 
     
 HM - iralibov   
 SUMSQ:489  
 SUMSQ Z:-0.383  
 STP:60.1 (7) 
 TAE:87.3 (3) 
 AAE:3.23 (3) 
     

SUMSQ:  sum of square error (")
SUMSQ Z:  Z-score
STP:  storm total precipitation error (")
TAE:  total absolute error (")
AAE:  average absolute error (")
(#):  category rank

Forecast by Observed Snowfall Scatterplots for Top Forecasts
Dotted blue line below (above) solid red line ==> under (over) forecast

Station by Station Comparison of Top Forecasters

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