CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 14-APR-18 @ 9 PM EDT

Winter '17 / '18 - Snowfall Forecast Contests

19th Annual 'Regular Season' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Brad Yehl
2nd Place: Don Sutherland
3rd Place: NWS ER WFOs
HM: Herb @MAWS

17th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
- FINAL Results here
1st Place: Don Sutherland
2nd Place: Mitchel Volk
3rd Place: Brad Yehl
Climo: 5th place

Winter '16 / '17 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
18th Annual 'Regular Season'
FINAL results here

16th Annual 'Season-total'
FINAL results here

Sunday, March 11, 2018

Winter '17 / '18 - Snow Storm #6: FINAL Results

Forecasters' station verifications and the storm summary at NEWxSFC/s home page.

 1st - Donald Rosenfeld   
 SUMSQ Z:-1.171  
 STP:16.1 (8) 
 TAE:53.2 (1) 
 AAE:2.22 (1) 
 2nd - Herb @MAWS   
 SUMSQ Z:-1.005  
 STP:4.7 (4) 
 TAE:53.3 (2) 
 AAE:2.32 (3) 
 3rd - NWS ER WFOs   
 SUMSQ Z:-0.772  
 STP:11.1 (6) 
 TAE:56.4 (3) 
 AAE:2.45 (5) 
 HM - Roger Smith   
 SUMSQ Z:-0.745  
 STP:22.9 (10) 
 TAE:58.4 (5) 
 AAE:2.24 (2) 

SUMSQ:  sum of square errors (")
SUMSQ Z:  Z-score
STP:  storm total precipitation error (")
TAE:  total absolute error (")
AAE:  average absolute error (")
(#):  category rank

Forecast by Observed Snowfall Scatterplots for Top Forecasts
Dotted blue line below (above) solid red line ==> under (over) forecast

Snowfall analysis courtesy National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center

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