Sunday, November 18, 2018

Winter '18 / '19 - Snow Storm #1: FINAL Results

Forecasters' station verifications and the storm summary at NEWxSFC/s home page.
http://www.newx-forecasts.com/

1st - donsutherland1  
SUMSQ: 38  
SUMSQ Z: -1.400  
STP: 7.1  (1)
TAE: 18.9  (1)
AAE: 0.95  (1)
     
2nd - Brad Yehl  
SUMSQ: 54  
SUMSQ Z: -1.215  
STP: 9.2  (2)
TAE: 21.2  (2)
AAE: 1.06  (2)
     
3rd - WeatherT  
SUMSQ: 85  
SUMSQ Z: -0.860  
STP: 16.2  (4)
TAE: 33.4  (5)
AAE: 1.52  (3)
     
HM - Donald Rosenfeld  
SUMSQ: 113  
SUMSQ Z: -0.541  
STP: 20.3  (8)
TAE: 33.0  (3)
AAE: 1.57  (4)

SUMSQ:  sum of square error (")
SUMSQ Z:  Z-score
STP:  storm total precipitation error (")
TAE:  total absolute error (")
AAE:  average absolute error (")
(#):  category rank


Forecast by Observed Snowfall Scatterplots for Top Forecasts
Dotted blue line below (above) solid red line ==> under (over) forecast


Station by Station Comparison of Top Forecasters

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