Winter '18 / '19 - Snow Storm #1: The Forecasts

Forecaster class
Rookie 2
Journey 1
Senior 9
TOT 12

- Brad Yelh is NEWxSFC/s reigning 'Chief Forecaster' for 2019 ... having placed 1st in last year's 'Regular' season contest.

- Welcome and Good Luck to our Rookie forecasters NJWeather & Weather Wizard!

- No entry for ER NWS WSOs b/c of snowfall forecasts for many of their stations occurred before the verification period started.

All forecasts posted to the Contest/s web site. (direct link)

CORR:  quagmireweathercentral return to the fray for his third season warrants promotion to 'Journeyman' status. 

Forecast table ranked MIN-to-MAX by their verification period storm-total precipitation (STP).
BLUE = 25th percentile
RED >= 75th percentile
White / Grey- STP and 4cast cells range between the 25th and 75th percentile

Heaviest snowfall (>= 6") consensus expected along and to the right of a line from CAR - CON - ORH - ALB - BGM - BTV - CAR.  Lollipop @ BGM.

Flat PNA ... POS NAO ... Bi-polar AO.

Another NEWxSFC contest-worthy snow storm defies conventional teleconnection wisdom.

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Challenging verifications ahead given some lower latitude forecast stations observed much of their storm-total snowfall prior to the deadline.

Look for the forecast station's  preliminary verifying STPs NLT tomorrow (SAT) evening.