CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 11-APR-20 @ 8:30 PM EST

Winter '19 / '20 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
21st Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Season ended as quickly as it started.
No winner this go'round ... too few storms (minimum of three required)

Snow Storm #1 (01-DEC-19)
FINAL Results here

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19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

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Winter '18 / '19 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
20th Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

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18th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here
Forecaster verification table here

Monday, December 2, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - 19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecasting Contest: The Forecasts!

17 forecasters + P-O-R-N + CONSENSUS

Forecaster table ranked by STP

BLUE - <= 25th percentile
RED - >= 75th percentile
P-O-R-N - period of record normal
CONSENSUS - average station forecasts

Some forecasts have decimal values and were recorded as such; however ... rounding was applied for display purposes only.

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Total station forecasts:  475 (including P-O-R-N & CONSENSUS)
Total station forecasts for ...
BELOW average snowfall - 175 (37%)
AVERAGE snowfall - 26 (5%)
ABOVE average snowfall - 274 (58%)


Confidence -- at least 67% of forecasts -- for stations with ...
- ABOVE average snowfall:  10
CAR ... BGR ... PWM ... CON ... BTV ... BDR ... BDL ... ALB ... BGM ... ABE

- AVERAGE snowfall:  1
ACY

- BELOW average snowfall:  14
BOS ... ORH ... PVD ... NYC ... MDT ... PHL ... EWR ... BWI ... DCA ... IAD ... SBY ... RIC ... ORF ... RDU

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All forecaster entries at the Contest/s web site here (direct link to forecasts here).

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

LOL == I am a quarter of the way home for ALB and it's December 2nd. == RS

TQ said...

Appears ALB was Ground Zero for the upper system's pivot point