Friday, January 29, 2021

Winter '20 / '21 - Snow Storm #2: Call for Forecasts!

Six long weeks after the start to NEWx/s 22nd Annual 'Snow Storm' Forecasting Contest ... Snow Storm #2 finally comes a'calling.

Amplifying mid-level flow ... shortening wavelength ... hi-latitude blocking ... Miller 'B' mid-latitude cyclogenesis ... Arctic wedge ... mixed-precipitation type issues ... and a long-duration nor'easter just like days of yore.

Even the Mid-Atlantic and a long stretch of the I-95 corridor are in play this go'round.

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Enter your forecast at the NEWxSFC/s home page at http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
Follow the top-of-page link from 'Enter Snow Storm Forecast'

Forecast element: each station/s storm-total snowfall
Deadline for entries: 10:00 PM EST ... SAT ... 30-JAN-21
Verification begins: 12:01 AM EST ... SUN ... 31-JAN-21
Verification ends: 11:59 PM EST on the day when flakes stop accumulating.

You also get the chance to see how well your forecast stacks up against NWS Eastern Region Weather Forecast Offices. Turns out they/ve been fairly easy to beat!

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If you are issuing your first forecast this winter ... or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest ... you/ll need to create an account -- user name / password / valid e-mail (if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).

The snowfall forecasting contest for Snow Storm #2 may be cancelled prior to the deadline if at least six-to-eight stations are unlikely to observe at least a 4" storm-total snowfall.

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As always ... there/s no cost ... no fee ... no advertising ... or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast. It/s just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.

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