Winter '21 / '22 - Snow Storm #5: FINAL Results and Storm Summary
Complete forecaster verification table and the FINAL Results / Storm Summary available at NEWxSFC/s home page.
SUMSQ: sum of square error (")
SUMSQ Z: Z-score
STP: storm total precipitation error (")
TAE: total absolute error (")
AAE: average absolute error (")
(#): category rank
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Forecast by Observed Snowfall Scatterplots for Top 4 Forecasts
Forecast/s dotted blue line below (above) the Observed snowfall/s solid red line ==> under (over) forecast bias.
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Comparison of Top 4 Forecasts and Observed Snowfall by Station
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Positive skill values indicate a forecast/s improvement over the NWS forecasts.
Bias is the arithmetic difference between the average Forecast snowfall and the average Observed snowfall.
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4 comments:
How much could the USA save if they just disbanded the NWS and got their forecasts from Don Sutherland?
you got that right and it's year after year to boot ...
Nice contest. Congrats Don S. Thx TQ!
Thanks all for the kind words.
—Don
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