Winter '17 / '18 - Snow Storm #7: FINAL Results
Forecasters' station verifications and the storm summary at NEWxSFC/s home page.
http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
| 1st - iralibov | ||||
| SUMSQ: | 328 | |||
| SUMSQ Z: | -1.379 | |||
| STP: | 31.6 | (5) | ||
| TAE: | 66.3 | (1) | ||
| AAE: | 2.46 | (1) | ||
| 2nd - donsutherland1 | ||||
| SUMSQ: | 365 | |||
| SUMSQ Z: | -1.041 | |||
| STP: | 29.7 | (2) | ||
| TAE: | 67.0 | (2) | ||
| AAE: | 2.48 | (2) | ||
| 3rd - TQ | ||||
| SUMSQ: | 394 | |||
| SUMSQ Z: | -0.787 | |||
| STP: | 47.5 | (8) | ||
| TAE: | 75.0 | (4) | ||
| AAE: | 2.78 | (4) | ||
| HM - Brad Yehl | ||||
| SUMSQ: | 400 | |||
| SUMSQ Z: | -0.735 | |||
| STP: | 45.8 | (7) | ||
| TAE: | 67.8 | (3) | ||
| AAE: | 2.51 | (3) | ||
SUMSQ: sum of square errors (")
SUMSQ Z: Z-score
STP: storm total precipitation error (")
TAE: total absolute error (")
AAE: average absolute error (")
(#): category rank
Dotted blue line below (above) solid red line ==> under (over) forecast
http://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/map.html
Posts
2 comments:
Thanks for the summaries, I knew ALB and BGM were going to sink my chances ... by the way, check in the summary, BGR max forecast not the closest, think it was maybe second closest? Otherwise all looks right at first glance. We all had our ups and downs in that one, but I hit max turbulence. :)
-- Roger Smith
In re the BGR max forecast; Thx for the eagle eye. It's an eyeball analysis and sometimes it's less than 20/20.
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