Sunday, January 27, 2019

Winter '18 / '19 - Snow Storm #3: Call for Forecasts!

Conservatory Lake - Central Park - NYC (10-FEB-34)
Clipper-type short wave progged to dive SE across north-central CONUS on MON ... then re-develop off the SNE coast TUE ... may turn out to be 'contest-worthy.'

Numerical weather prediction models sometimes don't converge on a consensus solution and don't show systems like this their 'game face' until ~24 hours before flakes start flyin' for real.

Seeing how there have been so few chances to forecast storm-total snowfall this winter ... we're issuing a 'Call for Forecasts' for Snow Storm #3.

The contest for Snow Storm #3 may be cancelled prior to the deadline if fewer than six stations are likely to observe at least a 4" storm-total snowfall.
.
---
Forecast element: each station's storm-total snowfall
Deadline for entries: 10:00 PM EST ... MON ... 28-JAN-19
Verification begins: 12:01 AM EST ... TUE ... 29-JAN-19
Verification ends: 11:59 PM EST ... WED ... 30-JAN-19
.
---
Enter your forecast at the NEWxSFC/s home page here. http://www.newx-forecasts.com/
Follow the top-of-page link from 'Enter Storm Forecast.
.
---
As always ... there/s no cost ... no fee ... no advertising ... or annoying requests for personal information to enter a forecast. It's just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best synoptic-scale snowfall forecast.

You also get the chance to see how well your forecast stacks up against NWS Eastern Region Weather Forecast Offices (turns out they're pretty easy to beat!)
.
---
If you are issuing your first forecast this winter ... or you entered the 'season-total' forecast contest ... you/ll need to create an account -- user name / password / valid e-mail (if you want a copy of your forecast sent to your Inbox).

No comments: