Sunday, November 24, 2019

Winter '19 / '20 - 19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest: Call for Forecasts!

NEWxSFC/s Resident 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecaster

Here comes winter with its oscillating Arctic and North Atlantic indexes ... suddenly warming stratosphere ... so-so ENSO ... and if we/re lucky .... an endless parade of 'Miller A' LOWs raking the eastern seaboard.

NE.Wx/s 19th annual ‘Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest is the absolute best ... biggest ... and probably ONLY chance to be honored for your long-range forecasting acumen ;/

And it's s-o-o easy.
Cool prizes ... too!

All you have to do is issue the best forecast for the 'season-total' snowfall at 25 east coast stations between RDU and CAR!

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Forecast element: season-total snowfall @ each station
Forecast period: 01-DEC-19 through 31-MAR-20

Error statistic: total absolute error [Σ abs(forecast - observed)]
Verification: NWS preliminary climate reports (CLM or CF6)

Low score wins.

Deadline: SAT ... 30-NOV-19 @ 11:59 PM EST (01-DEC-19 @ 4:59 UTC)

Visit the Contest's website to enter your forecast.
Follow the link at the top of the page to 'Enter Season-total Forecast.'

Update your forecast as often as you want prior to the deadline.
Only your last entry gets verified.

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1st place prize (delivered post-paid right to your front door):
"Snow in America" by Bernard Mergan (hardcover) and
"The Snow Booklet" by Nolan J. Doesken and Arthur Judson (paperback) and
... the august title 'Chief Season-total Snowfall Forecaster' for Winter '20 / '21 and
... a well-deserved place of honor with past winners.

2nd place prize (delivered post-paid right to your front door):
"New England Weather, New England Climate" by Greg Zielinski and Barry Keim (paperback)

3rd place prize (delivered post-paid right to your front door):
"The Snow Booklet" by Nolan J. Doesken and Arthur Judson (paperback)


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The reigning NE.Wx ‘Season-Total’ Snowfall Forecasting Champ-een is Donald Rosenfeld.
Last year's 'Season-total' forecast summary ... verification ... and final results at our website here

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As always; NO cost ... NO fees ... NO advertising ... NO annoying requests for personal information to enter the contest.  NEWxSFC is just a fun exercise for winter wx enthusiasts to see who can make the best 'season-total' snowfall forecast.

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The Contest is open to all including amateur and professional forecasters; broadcasters with or without trained Seals; any and all weather-biz types and / or wanna-bees; wish-casters ... astrologers ... along with any other universally recognized classes of dreamers; Pollyannas or Cassandras ... registered Nostradamuses ... non-violent megalomaniacs ... woolly-bear caterpillars or their agents ... pest detectives ... ne.weather USENET veterans and lurkers ... riders on the StormVista ... refugees from AmericanWx ... USWeather survivors ... including self-imposed exiles from Eastern Wx ... and of course ... meteorologists.

In honor of USENET/s ne.weather patron saint Mr. Joseph Bartlo's final request (RIP); trolls ... goats ... hat3-lsiters ... and psests need not apply.

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