Thursday, November 30, 2023

Winter '23 / '24 - 23rd Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest: Call for Forecasts!

NEWxSFC/s
Director of Season-total Snowfall Forecasting
NEWxSFC runs the longest continuously held snowfall forecasting contests on the World Wide Web.

Our 23nd annual ‘season-total' snowfall forecast contest is a great opportunity to demonstrate your long-range forecasting acumen ... and if you get lucky ... win some books about meteorology ... too.

And it's really easy.
All you have to do is predict the 'season-total' snowfall at 25 stations across the mid-Atlantic and New England from Raleigh ... NC (RDU) to Caribou ... ME (CAR).

If you're new to season-total snowfall forecasting ... start off with climatology and go from there.

Visit the Contest's website to enter your forecast.

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Forecast element:

season-total snowfall @ each station

Forecast period:
01-DEC-23 through 31-MAR-24
(be sure to include any snowfall observed between 01-DEC and 10-DEC)

Error statistic: total absolute error
[Σ abs(forecast - observed)]

Verification:
NWS climate reports (CLM or CF6)

Low. Score. Wins.

Deadline for entries: SUN ... 10-DEC-23 @ 11:59 PM EST (11-DEC-23 @ 4:59 UTC)

Update your forecast as often as you want prior to the deadline.
Only the last entry gets verified.

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1st place prize (delivered post-paid right to your front door):
... choice of a book from NEWxSFC library
... the august and coveted title 'Chief Season-total Snowfall Forecaster' for Winter '24 / '25 and
... a well-deserved place of high esteem and honor with past winners.

2nd place prize (delivered post-paid right to your front door):
... choice of a book from NEWxSFC library
... a well-deserved place honor with past winners.

3rd place prize (delivered post-paid right to your front door):
... choice of a book from NEWxSFC library
... a well-deserved place honor with past winners.

Honorable Mention: a well-deserved place of honor with past winners.

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The reigning NE.Wx ‘Season-Total’ Snowfall Forecasting Champ-een is Senior Forecaster snowman.

Last winter's 'Season-total' forecast summary ... verification ... and final results here.

 

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

I'm in. Can somebody tell me, wot is snow? Does it fall from sky?

Shillelagh said...

Yay! Thanx for doing this contest again TQ!

TQ said...

happy to see there's still interest in the contest ...

Anonymous said...

Always, because of interest in snow. We are 24 people liking a blizzard.

Anonymous said...

Left info and links for contest noting Sunday deadline on various regional forums at Am-wx, hope it will increase our turnout a little.

-- Roger Smith

TQ said...

thx roger.
looks like some new forecasters this year. lemme know if recognize their names.