Winter '20 / '21 - Coastal Teaser #3

UPDATE:  05-FEB-21 @ 9:45 AM EST 

No consensus among the overnight NWP model runs whether enough stations are in play to warrant a contest-worthy snow storm.

Will continue to evaluate through the 00z run this evening.

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Originally posted 04-FEB-21 @ 6:49 PM EST

Hot on the heels of this week's heavy snowfall event looms a full-latitude ... mid-level trof poised to excite a Miller 'A' nor'easter and the threat of a contest-worthy snow storm over the forecast area.

Latest NWP guidance points toward accumulating snow beginning over southern portions of the forecast area early SUN AM and continuing into MON as the storm scrapes along the coast. Without a closed LOW at 5H this go'round ... a long duration event is not expected.

Should events unfold as advertised currently ...
Call for Forecasts:  FRI ... 05-FEB-21
Deadline for entries:  10 PM EST ... SAT ... 06-FEB-21
Verification beginning:  12:01 AM EST ... SUN ... 07-FEB-21
Verification ending: 11:59 PM EST the day when flakes stop accumulating

Snow Storm #3 comes about seven days after Snow Storm #2.  In its wake ... the progs rocket the AO toward neutral and give the PNA a pump.  Should the cycle continue ... what's in store for Presidents Day 2021? 🤔