Winter '20 / '21 - Snow Storm Contest: Interim Standings #1
After three snow storm forecasting contests ... under the ‘two-thirds’ rule … forecasters who have entered at least TWO forecasts are included in interim standings #1.
Complete interim statistics table and chart at the Contest/s web site HERE (direct link)
Forecaster statistics for Winter '20 / '21 contest snow storms HERE (direct link)
Don Sutherland has been identified incorrectly as the Chief 'Regular Season' forecaster for the '20 / '21 season when that honor belongs to Brad Yehl. We regret the error and apologize to Brad for the oversight.
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SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized (i.e., standardized) with a 'Z-score' ... then averaged to compute the standings. If a forecaster has issued forecasts for more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests ... then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate the Interim and Final standings. Similar idea as dropping the lowest test score before computing the final grade.
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2 comments:
Seems like Dandy Don wins the contest often enough that it's an understandable error. Should be at least one, maybe 2 Contest worthy storms next week. I'm gunning for you, Ty Webb. (Movie reference there). ;)
my bad 2x. i made the same mistake last year ...
looking forward to more worthiness given the hyper-active pattern in place. the greennland block has been berry berry good for the cold air supply but has limited wave amplification ...
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