CONTEST STATUS - Updated: SAT ... 17-APR-21 @ 5 PM EDT

Winter '20 / '21 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
22nd Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL results here

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20th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL results here

DEC snowfall totals here
JAN snowfall totals here
FEB snowfall totals here
MAR snowfall totals here

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Winter '19 / '20 - Snowfall Forecast Contests
21st Annual 'Snow Storm' Snowfall Forecast Contest
Season ended as quickly as it started.
No winner this go'round ... too few storms (minimum of three required)

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19th Annual 'Season-total' Snowfall Forecast Contest
FINAL Results here

Wednesday, February 24, 2021

Winter '20 / '21 - Snow Storm Contest: Interim Standings #2

 After FOUR contest-worthy snow storms ... under the ‘two-thirds’ rule … forecasters who have entered at least THREE forecasts are included in Interim standings #2.


Complete interim statistics table and chart at the Contest/s web site HERE (direct link)
Forecaster statistics for Winter '20 / '21 contest-worthy snow storms HERE (direct link)

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SUMSQ errors for each contest snow storm are normalized (i.e., standardized) with a 'Z-score' ... then averaged to compute the standings. If a forecaster has issued forecasts for more than two-thirds of all snow storm contests ... then Z-scores from their 'best two-thirds' forecasts are used to calculate the Interim and Final standings.  Similar idea as dropping the lowest test score before computing the final grade.

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