Sunday, March 12, 2023

Winter '22 / '23 - Snow Storm #4: RAW Forecasts

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Entry No. 1911
Forecaster = snowman
Time = 3/12/2023 2:11:40 PM
CAR = 14.2
BGR = 12.3
PWM = 11
CON = 12
BTV = 12.5
BOS = 11
HYA = 9
ORH = 12
PVD = 8.5
BDR = 6
BDL = 9
ALB = 13
BGM = 9.5
ISP = 7.5
JFK = 8
ABE = 3
MDT = 3
PHL = 3.5
ACY = 3
EWR = 4.5
BWI = .5
IAD = 1.5
DCA = .5
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1912
Forecaster = snowman
Time = 3/12/2023 2:11:40 PM
CAR = 14.2
BGR = 12.3
PWM = 11
CON = 12
BTV = 12.5
BOS = 11
HYA = 9
ORH = 12
PVD = 8.5
BDR = 6
BDL = 9
ALB = 13
BGM = 9.5
ISP = 7.5
JFK = 8
ABE = 3
MDT = 3
PHL = 3.5
ACY = 3
EWR = 4.5
BWI = .5
IAD = 1.5
DCA = .5
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1913
Forecaster = WeatherTC
Time = 3/12/2023 6:36:14 PM
CAR = 4.0
BGR = 6.0
PWM = 7.0
CON = 7.0
BTV = 4.0
BOS = 8.5
HYA = 5.0
ORH = 13.0
PVD = 4.0
BDR = 2.0
BDL = 3.5
ALB = 10.0
BGM = 8.0
ISP = 1.5
JFK = 1.5
ABE = 3.0
MDT = 1.0
PHL = 0.3
ACY = 1.0
EWR = 2.5
BWI = 0.05
IAD = 0.05
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1914
Forecaster = Roger Smith
Time = 3/12/2023 6:44:23 PM
CAR = 1.5
BGR = 4.0
PWM = 8.5
CON = 11.3
BTV = 2.0
BOS = 6.0
HYA = 2.0
ORH = 14.5
PVD = 3.3
BDR = 2.5
BDL = 5.5
ALB = 12.0
BGM = 8.8
ISP = 1.0
JFK = 2.2
ABE = 0.5
MDT = 0.05
PHL = 0.1
ACY = 0.05
EWR = 3.0
BWI = 0.1
IAD = 0.2
DCA = 0.05
SBY = 0.05
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Guidance not very unified, gotta choose one side or the other. Or hedge your bets.
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1915
Forecaster = Roger Smith
Time = 3/12/2023 6:44:24 PM
CAR = 1.5
BGR = 4.0
PWM = 8.5
CON = 11.3
BTV = 2.0
BOS = 6.0
HYA = 2.0
ORH = 14.5
PVD = 3.3
BDR = 2.5
BDL = 5.5
ALB = 12.0
BGM = 8.8
ISP = 1.0
JFK = 2.2
ABE = 0.5
MDT = 0.05
PHL = 0.1
ACY = 0.05
EWR = 3.0
BWI = 0.1
IAD = 0.2
DCA = 0.05
SBY = 0.05
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Guidance not very unified, gotta choose one side or the other. Or hedge your bets.
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1916
Forecaster = Roger Smith
Time = 3/12/2023 6:44:25 PM
CAR = 1.5
BGR = 4.0
PWM = 8.5
CON = 11.3
BTV = 2.0
BOS = 6.0
HYA = 2.0
ORH = 14.5
PVD = 3.3
BDR = 2.5
BDL = 5.5
ALB = 12.0
BGM = 8.8
ISP = 1.0
JFK = 2.2
ABE = 0.5
MDT = 0.05
PHL = 0.1
ACY = 0.05
EWR = 3.0
BWI = 0.1
IAD = 0.2
DCA = 0.05
SBY = 0.05
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Guidance not very unified, gotta choose one side or the other. Or hedge your bets.
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1917
Forecaster = Roger Smith
Time = 3/12/2023 6:44:26 PM
CAR = 1.5
BGR = 4.0
PWM = 8.5
CON = 11.3
BTV = 2.0
BOS = 6.0
HYA = 2.0
ORH = 14.5
PVD = 3.3
BDR = 2.5
BDL = 5.5
ALB = 12.0
BGM = 8.8
ISP = 1.0
JFK = 2.2
ABE = 0.5
MDT = 0.05
PHL = 0.1
ACY = 0.05
EWR = 3.0
BWI = 0.1
IAD = 0.2
DCA = 0.05
SBY = 0.05
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Guidance not very unified, gotta choose one side or the other. Or hedge your bets.
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1918
Forecaster = Roger Smith
Time = 3/12/2023 6:44:26 PM
CAR = 1.5
BGR = 4.0
PWM = 8.5
CON = 11.3
BTV = 2.0
BOS = 6.0
HYA = 2.0
ORH = 14.5
PVD = 3.3
BDR = 2.5
BDL = 5.5
ALB = 12.0
BGM = 8.8
ISP = 1.0
JFK = 2.2
ABE = 0.5
MDT = 0.05
PHL = 0.1
ACY = 0.05
EWR = 3.0
BWI = 0.1
IAD = 0.2
DCA = 0.05
SBY = 0.05
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Guidance not very unified, gotta choose one side or the other. Or hedge your bets.
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1919
Forecaster = Roger Smith
Time = 3/12/2023 6:44:27 PM
CAR = 1.5
BGR = 4.0
PWM = 8.5
CON = 11.3
BTV = 2.0
BOS = 6.0
HYA = 2.0
ORH = 14.5
PVD = 3.3
BDR = 2.5
BDL = 5.5
ALB = 12.0
BGM = 8.8
ISP = 1.0
JFK = 2.2
ABE = 0.5
MDT = 0.05
PHL = 0.1
ACY = 0.05
EWR = 3.0
BWI = 0.1
IAD = 0.2
DCA = 0.05
SBY = 0.05
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Guidance not very unified, gotta choose one side or the other. Or hedge your bets.
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1920
Forecaster = Roger Smith
Time = 3/12/2023 6:44:28 PM
CAR = 1.5
BGR = 4.0
PWM = 8.5
CON = 11.3
BTV = 2.0
BOS = 6.0
HYA = 2.0
ORH = 14.5
PVD = 3.3
BDR = 2.5
BDL = 5.5
ALB = 12.0
BGM = 8.8
ISP = 1.0
JFK = 2.2
ABE = 0.5
MDT = 0.05
PHL = 0.1
ACY = 0.05
EWR = 3.0
BWI = 0.1
IAD = 0.2
DCA = 0.05
SBY = 0.05
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Guidance not very unified, gotta choose one side or the other. Or hedge your bets.
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1921
Forecaster = Herb@MAWS
Time = 3/12/2023 7:00:54 PM
CAR = 3
BGR = 5
PWM = 10
CON = 9
BTV = 2
BOS = 4
HYA = 0.7
ORH = 11
PVD = 4.5
BDR = 1
BDL = 5.5
ALB = 12
BGM = 10
ISP = 1
JFK = 0.5
ABE = 1
MDT = 0.05
PHL = 0.3
ACY = 0.05
EWR = 0.7
BWI = 0
IAD = 0
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Contest #4
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1922
Forecaster = Roger Smith
Time = 3/12/2023 8:02:22 PM
CAR = 2.5
BGR = 6.5
PWM = 11.2
CON = 15.5
BTV = 8.8
BOS = 7.9
HYA = 3.5
ORH = 18.2
PVD = 4.5
BDR = 3.0
BDL = 7.7
ALB = 16.2
BGM = 12.5
ISP = 0.8
JFK = 2.2
ABE = 4.0
MDT = 0.05
PHL = 0.1
ACY = 0.05
EWR = 3.3
BWI = 0.05
IAD = 0.05
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = Sorry for the second entry (again) but I had a re-think about some details ...
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1923
Forecaster = VWN Quags
Time = 3/12/2023 8:43:35 PM
CAR = 2.0
BGR = 6.0
PWM = 10.0
CON = 10.5
BTV = 2.0
BOS = 11.0
HYA = 0.5
ORH = 12.5
PVD = 3.0
BDR = 2.5
BDL = 5.5
ALB = 16.0
BGM = 11.0
ISP = 1.5
JFK = 1.5
ABE = 2.0
MDT = 0.5
PHL = 03
ACY = 0
EWR = 2.0
BWI = 0
IAD = 0
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = 4
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1924
Forecaster = TQ
Time = 3/12/2023 8:44:38 PM
CAR = 2.5
BGR = 6
PWM = 8
CON = 8
BTV = 6
BOS = 9
HYA = 6
ORH = 13
PVD = 5.5
BDR = 3.5
BDL = 10.5
ALB = 13
BGM = 9.5
ISP = 2
JFK = 2
ABE = 4
MDT = 1.5
PHL = .5
ACY = .5
EWR = 2.5
BWI = .1
IAD = .5
DCA = .5
SBY = 0
RIC = .2
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments = ooof ...
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1925
Forecaster = Mitchel Volk
Time = 3/12/2023 8:47:52 PM
CAR = 7
BGR = 8
PWM = 9
CON = 15
BTV = 3
BOS = 10
HYA = 3
ORH = 15
PVD = 5
BDR = 5
BDL = 11
ALB = 12
BGM = 11
ISP = 1
JFK = 4
ABE = 4
MDT = 4
PHL = 1
ACY = 0
EWR = 5
BWI = 0
IAD = 0
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1926
Forecaster = VWN Quags
Time = 3/12/2023 8:50:34 PM
CAR = 2
BGR = 6
PWM = 12
CON = 11
BTV = 2
BOS = 11.5
HYA = 2.0
ORH = 12.0
PVD = 3
BDR = 2.6
BDL = 5.5
ALB = 16.5
BGM = 11
ISP = 1.5
JFK = 1.5
ABE = 2
MDT = 0.5
PHL = 0.3
ACY = 0
EWR = 2
BWI = 0
IAD = 0
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1927
Forecaster = donsutherland1
Time = 3/12/2023 8:50:55 PM
CAR = 2.0
BGR = 4.5
PWM = 8.0
CON = 8.5
BTV = 3.3
BOS = 9.5
HYA = 0.5
ORH = 12.5
PVD = 6.0
BDR = 1.2
BDL = 4.5
ALB = 11.3
BGM = 10.6
ISP = 1.2
JFK = 0.8
ABE = 1.5
MDT = 0.3
PHL = 0.1
ACY = 0.05
EWR = 1.2
BWI = 0.0
IAD = 0.0
DCA = 0.0
SBY = 0.0
RIC = 0.0
ORF = 0.0
RDU = 0.0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1928
Forecaster = NWS ER WFOs
Time = 3/12/2023 8:51:53 PM
CAR = 1.8
BGR = 5.1
PWM = 9.7
CON = 9.4
BTV = 1.6
BOS = 9.1
HYA = .2
ORH = 11
PVD = 5.8
BDR = 2.3
BDL = 5.2
ALB = 14.1
BGM = 10.3
ISP = 1.5
JFK = 1.5
ABE = 1.5
MDT = 0
PHL = .1
ACY = 0
EWR = 1.7
BWI = 0
IAD = 0
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

Entry No. 1929
Forecaster = JessicaCain
Time = 3/12/2023 8:54:42 PM
CAR = 2.6
BGR = 6.8
PWM = 9.5
CON = 9.8
BTV = 2.4
BOS = 4.7
HYA = 0.6
ORH = 11.5
PVD = 4.8
BDR = 1.1
BDL = 5.7
ALB = 14.4
BGM = 12.8
ISP = 1.2
JFK = 0.7
ABE = 1.0
MDT = 0.2
PHL = 0
ACY = 0
EWR = 1.2
BWI = 0
IAD = 0
DCA = 0
SBY = 0
RIC = 0
ORF = 0
RDU = 0
Comments =
----End of Entry----

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Sorry again for the multiple appearances of my first entry, I had a computer freeze and clicked on submit a few times to see if it would go through. Apparently they all went through. But then I did submit a second forecast a bit later on so please ignore all those duplicate entries. Thanks. I notice we're a bit short on entries, wonder if that's the time change or some people might be expecting a deadline tomorrow? Your call of course but I would be cool with a restart if so. -- Roger Smith

TQ said...


no worries. enter as often as you like before the deadline. the entries go into a database so dupes are easy to manage. only the last one counts as they say :)


one forecaster was caught unawares with the time change. everyone gets a 'get out of jail card free' for a late entry as long as it's not hours late.


storm #4 deadline took into account the prognosis for accumulating snows over BGM and ALB (and possibly MDT and ABE earlier in the day) between 00 and 06z on the 14th. an later deadline would have missed a fair amount of the expected heavier snowfalls over southern NY ...